For those counting down the minutes until the next World Cup game (currently under 32 hours by my watch), you might like to kill some time by browsing The Falcon's Definitive 2010 Tour de France Guide (yes this is the shameless self promotion normally seen from Channel 7 on their Australian open coverage but I don't care).
The race kicks off on Saturday and everything you need to know about it over the next few weeks can be found here:
http://2010tourdefrance.blogspot.com/
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Matchday 19 - Villa, King of the Iberians
Paraguay 0 - Japan 0 (Paraguay won 5-3 on penalties)
Spain 1 (Villa 63) - Portugal 0
The round of 16 matches were complete on Matchday 19 with the Iberian derby going to Spain, a 1-0 win over Portugal sending them through to the quarter finals. In the early match Paraguay won through to the quarter finals for the first time in its history after it defeated Japan 5-3 on penalties, after the teams were deadlocked at 0-0 after extra time.
But in the glamour match of the day it was the Spanish who prevailed, their 1-0 win over Portugal their first competitive win over their neighbour since 1934. In reality, the scoreline flattered the Portuguese, with the Spaniards garnering most of the possession with their magnificent passing game, and consequently doing most of the attacking. The breakthrough finally came just after the hour mark, when star striker David Villa was played in behind the watertight Portugal defence by Iniesta. Villa's initial shot was stopped by the goalkeeper, but Eduardo could do nothing about the rebound which Villa clinically dispatched into the net of the underside of the cross bar. Rather than spur the Portuguese on, the goal only led to further dominance from the Spaniards, who pushed forward looking for a second that would have killed the game off. Despite a number of close range efforts from Villa and substitute Fernando Llorente the second goal never came, and while that may have allowed Portugal to snatch a late equaliser at the death, they never really threatened to do so. A lunging dive from Capdevilla to block a Portuguese shot in the last 10 minutes was the only time their goal was really threatened. Portgual's misery was compounded when Ricardo Costa was sent off in the final minutes after his stray elbow connected with Capdevilla.
Spain now look to have an easy run to the semi-finals. Their opponent in the quarters will be Paraguay, who have reached this stage of the tournament for the first time following an anemic 0-0 draw with Japan that was finally decided on penalties, the South Americans prevailing 5-3. This was an atrocious game for this stage of the tournament but it was perhaps to be expected in a matchup between two sides that had never before advanced past the round of 16. The villain in the end was Japan's Yuichi Komano, who tragically saw his penalty cannon of the crossbar. Every other player (from both sides) made the penalty, and the match was finally brought to a close when Oscar Cardozo slotted home from Paraguay to send them into raptures. The result means that 4 of the 5 South American teams have made it to the quarter-finals, a phenomenal effort by that continent. Paraguay's run is likely to end here however as on that performance they should be smashed by the Spanish in the next round.
Quarter Final Matches - Paraguay ($5.80) v Spain ($1.20)
What We Learned - That Portugal could defend but that was about it. The Portuguese only conceded 1 goal in the whole tournament, which is fantastic. But it doesn't really help when you fail to score in three of your other 4 matches. Their attack was barren, and all a 6 goal second half against North Korea did was paper over the cracks of what was otherwise a major problem and the reason they have advanced no further in the tournament.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Christiano Ronaldo (Portugal) - The first two time winner of the award, Ronaldo was totally invisible in his nation's most important match for four years. While Villa and Iniesta were dragging Spain into the quarterfinals Ronaldo barely saw the ball and when he did he wasted it with ridiculous long range shots. To the casual fan you would have thought Fabio Coentrao was the Portuguese star and the former World player of the year. Ronaldo (rightfully) leaves the tournament in disgrace.
Tonight's matches - No games! And finally a chance to catch up on some sleep! Enjoy it - the action restarts Friday night with a cracker of a quarter final between the Netherlands and Brazil.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Spain 1 (Villa 63) - Portugal 0
The round of 16 matches were complete on Matchday 19 with the Iberian derby going to Spain, a 1-0 win over Portugal sending them through to the quarter finals. In the early match Paraguay won through to the quarter finals for the first time in its history after it defeated Japan 5-3 on penalties, after the teams were deadlocked at 0-0 after extra time.
But in the glamour match of the day it was the Spanish who prevailed, their 1-0 win over Portugal their first competitive win over their neighbour since 1934. In reality, the scoreline flattered the Portuguese, with the Spaniards garnering most of the possession with their magnificent passing game, and consequently doing most of the attacking. The breakthrough finally came just after the hour mark, when star striker David Villa was played in behind the watertight Portugal defence by Iniesta. Villa's initial shot was stopped by the goalkeeper, but Eduardo could do nothing about the rebound which Villa clinically dispatched into the net of the underside of the cross bar. Rather than spur the Portuguese on, the goal only led to further dominance from the Spaniards, who pushed forward looking for a second that would have killed the game off. Despite a number of close range efforts from Villa and substitute Fernando Llorente the second goal never came, and while that may have allowed Portugal to snatch a late equaliser at the death, they never really threatened to do so. A lunging dive from Capdevilla to block a Portuguese shot in the last 10 minutes was the only time their goal was really threatened. Portgual's misery was compounded when Ricardo Costa was sent off in the final minutes after his stray elbow connected with Capdevilla.
Spain now look to have an easy run to the semi-finals. Their opponent in the quarters will be Paraguay, who have reached this stage of the tournament for the first time following an anemic 0-0 draw with Japan that was finally decided on penalties, the South Americans prevailing 5-3. This was an atrocious game for this stage of the tournament but it was perhaps to be expected in a matchup between two sides that had never before advanced past the round of 16. The villain in the end was Japan's Yuichi Komano, who tragically saw his penalty cannon of the crossbar. Every other player (from both sides) made the penalty, and the match was finally brought to a close when Oscar Cardozo slotted home from Paraguay to send them into raptures. The result means that 4 of the 5 South American teams have made it to the quarter-finals, a phenomenal effort by that continent. Paraguay's run is likely to end here however as on that performance they should be smashed by the Spanish in the next round.
Quarter Final Matches - Paraguay ($5.80) v Spain ($1.20)
What We Learned - That Portugal could defend but that was about it. The Portuguese only conceded 1 goal in the whole tournament, which is fantastic. But it doesn't really help when you fail to score in three of your other 4 matches. Their attack was barren, and all a 6 goal second half against North Korea did was paper over the cracks of what was otherwise a major problem and the reason they have advanced no further in the tournament.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Christiano Ronaldo (Portugal) - The first two time winner of the award, Ronaldo was totally invisible in his nation's most important match for four years. While Villa and Iniesta were dragging Spain into the quarterfinals Ronaldo barely saw the ball and when he did he wasted it with ridiculous long range shots. To the casual fan you would have thought Fabio Coentrao was the Portuguese star and the former World player of the year. Ronaldo (rightfully) leaves the tournament in disgrace.
Tonight's matches - No games! And finally a chance to catch up on some sleep! Enjoy it - the action restarts Friday night with a cracker of a quarter final between the Netherlands and Brazil.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Monday, June 28, 2010
Matchday 18 - Brilliant Brazil
Netherlands 2 (Robben 18, Sneijder 84) - Slovakia 1 (90+4p)
Brazil 3 (Juan 35, Fabiano 38, Robinho 59) - Chile 0
Brazil stamped themselves as the team to beat at the 2010 World Cup after they advanced to the quarter-finals with a dominant 3-0 win over Chile. There they will meet the Netherlands, who comfortably accounted for Slovakia 2-1, despite conceding a late penalty.
The samba superstars from Brazil again showed why they are 5 time champions in clinically dispatching their South American rivals Chile 3-0 in their round of 16 match overnight. The Brazilians, whose approach has been described as pragmatic by some, showed the perfect combination of defence and attack in dismantling the Chileans. After a fairly neutral first half an hour, Brazil took the game by the scruff of the neck with a magical four minute burst. First Juan powerfully headed home a Maicon corner to give Brazil the lead, before a beautiful attacking combination started by Robinho, set up by Kaka, and finished by Luis Fabiano, doubled Brazil's advantage going into the break. A cracking strike from Robinho just before the hour mark made it 3-0, and put Chile on the next plane home to South America. The performance of the Brazilian's was almost perfect, and while they created some good attacking thrusts, the Chileans failed to produce the final ball with the same quality as Brazil, and as a result they never really troubled Julio Cesar in the Brazilian goal. Dunga will be rapt with the performance of his team who bounced back from a tepid display against Portugal in their last group game to show the kind of cutting attack they displayed in their group stage victory over Cote d'Ivoire.
Their opponents in the quarter final will be the Netherlands in a rematch of the 1998 semi-final. The Dutch were never really troubled in grinding out a 2-1 win over Slovakia, despite playing out most of the match with only a single goal lead thanks to Arjen Robben, who made his first start at the tournament after coming back from injury. The result was all but confirmed when Wesley Sneijder slotted a second with 5 minutes to go, and despite conceding a late penalty, which was slotted by Robert Vittek, the Dutch cruised through to the next round.
Quarter Final Matches - Netherlands ($2.88) v Brazil ($1.52)
What We Learned - That Brazil are the deserving outright favourites to take home the 6th trophy. They have looked devastating on the attack when they are given any space, and have only conceded two goals so far - both due to drops in concentration when they already had matches in their keeping. You would think now that a superb performance from the Dutch would be the only thing stopping Brazil storming into another final.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Sydney weather (cold, chance of freezing) - The Sydney winter has hit a cold snap unrivalled in living memory (which for me living here is just over 2 years). It is hard enough to crawl out of bed at 4:30 in the morning without the living room conditions replicating that of an Antarctic base. Even a strong pot of coffee and multiple blankets is barely enough to keep yourself awake at these temperatures.
Tonight's Games - The second round concludes and fans all around the world will celebrate at finally getting a couple of nights uninterrupted sleep after 19 nights of consecutive matches. Paraguay and Japan (traditional rivals?) have a golden chance to get themselves to the quarters here, and I think Paraguay will continue the South American dominance at this tournament by advancing. The other game seems a mammoth Iberian derby between Spain and Portgual. Despite not having beaten Portugal in a competitive fixture since 1934, I expect the Spaniards will get the job done here....just!
Suggested Investment - The second round has been good to us so let's keep going with backing teams to advance. Tonight a multi with Paraguay and Spain looks the best way to go. It will be short but sweet.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Brazil 3 (Juan 35, Fabiano 38, Robinho 59) - Chile 0
Brazil stamped themselves as the team to beat at the 2010 World Cup after they advanced to the quarter-finals with a dominant 3-0 win over Chile. There they will meet the Netherlands, who comfortably accounted for Slovakia 2-1, despite conceding a late penalty.
The samba superstars from Brazil again showed why they are 5 time champions in clinically dispatching their South American rivals Chile 3-0 in their round of 16 match overnight. The Brazilians, whose approach has been described as pragmatic by some, showed the perfect combination of defence and attack in dismantling the Chileans. After a fairly neutral first half an hour, Brazil took the game by the scruff of the neck with a magical four minute burst. First Juan powerfully headed home a Maicon corner to give Brazil the lead, before a beautiful attacking combination started by Robinho, set up by Kaka, and finished by Luis Fabiano, doubled Brazil's advantage going into the break. A cracking strike from Robinho just before the hour mark made it 3-0, and put Chile on the next plane home to South America. The performance of the Brazilian's was almost perfect, and while they created some good attacking thrusts, the Chileans failed to produce the final ball with the same quality as Brazil, and as a result they never really troubled Julio Cesar in the Brazilian goal. Dunga will be rapt with the performance of his team who bounced back from a tepid display against Portugal in their last group game to show the kind of cutting attack they displayed in their group stage victory over Cote d'Ivoire.
Their opponents in the quarter final will be the Netherlands in a rematch of the 1998 semi-final. The Dutch were never really troubled in grinding out a 2-1 win over Slovakia, despite playing out most of the match with only a single goal lead thanks to Arjen Robben, who made his first start at the tournament after coming back from injury. The result was all but confirmed when Wesley Sneijder slotted a second with 5 minutes to go, and despite conceding a late penalty, which was slotted by Robert Vittek, the Dutch cruised through to the next round.
Quarter Final Matches - Netherlands ($2.88) v Brazil ($1.52)
What We Learned - That Brazil are the deserving outright favourites to take home the 6th trophy. They have looked devastating on the attack when they are given any space, and have only conceded two goals so far - both due to drops in concentration when they already had matches in their keeping. You would think now that a superb performance from the Dutch would be the only thing stopping Brazil storming into another final.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Sydney weather (cold, chance of freezing) - The Sydney winter has hit a cold snap unrivalled in living memory (which for me living here is just over 2 years). It is hard enough to crawl out of bed at 4:30 in the morning without the living room conditions replicating that of an Antarctic base. Even a strong pot of coffee and multiple blankets is barely enough to keep yourself awake at these temperatures.
Tonight's Games - The second round concludes and fans all around the world will celebrate at finally getting a couple of nights uninterrupted sleep after 19 nights of consecutive matches. Paraguay and Japan (traditional rivals?) have a golden chance to get themselves to the quarters here, and I think Paraguay will continue the South American dominance at this tournament by advancing. The other game seems a mammoth Iberian derby between Spain and Portgual. Despite not having beaten Portugal in a competitive fixture since 1934, I expect the Spaniards will get the job done here....just!
Suggested Investment - The second round has been good to us so let's keep going with backing teams to advance. Tonight a multi with Paraguay and Spain looks the best way to go. It will be short but sweet.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Sunday, June 27, 2010
Matchday 16 - Ghosts of '66
Germany 4 (Klose 20, Podolski 32, Mueller 67,70) - England 1 (Upson 37)
Argentina 3 (Tevez 26, 52, Higuain 33) - Mexico 1 (Hernandez 71)
The ghosts of Wembley in 1966 haunted the 2010 World Cup on Matchday 16, as England controversially had a goal dissallowed for not clearing the line as they were again eliminated by Germany, this time on the receiving end of a 4-1 thumping. History repeated in the late match as for the second tournament in a row Argentina eliminated Mexico in the round of 16 following a controversial 3-1 win.
But 44 years after 'the goal heard around the world', Germany will be feeling redemption this morning. In 1966, Geoff Hurst's goal was controversially judged to be over the line, giving England a 3-2 lead in the final. In 2010, Frank Lampad's wasn't – despite being a clear 2 yards over the line. Had it been allowed, that goal would have drawn England back level at 2-2, in a game they clearly deserved to trail in. Instead, they went into the break 2-1 down, were forced to chase the game in the second half, and were cut to shreds by a clinical German counter attack led by Mesut Oezil and Thomas Mueller, the final score 4-1. Germany deservedly took an early two goal lead through World Cup specialists Miroslav Klose and Lukas Podolski who scored a goal a piece. England reduced the deficit to one against the run of play through a powerful Matthew Upson header, before Lampard sent a cracking short crashing off the underside of the bar, and over the line. However, without help from his linesman the referee waved play on – and with it went England’s last hope. While the German’s looked trouble in defence at times, once England had to take the game to them in the second half their counter-attacking play was beautiful. A Thomas Mueller brace in just 3 second half minutes was enough to seal the game and send Germany on the quarter finals.
Germany will now face Argentina in the quarter-finals, a repeat of their match-up at this stage four years ago in Germany. As was the case for years ago, Argentina advanced by defeating Mexico, this time 3-1 in a game not without its own controversies. After a bright start Mexico dropped their bundle after Carlos Tevez gave Argentina the lead when he clearly looked to be in an offside position. Higuain added a second less than 10 minutes later, and when Tevez smashed in a superb long range effort early in the second half the game was as good as done at 3-0. Javier Hernandez produced a quality individual effort to drag Mexico bag to 3-1 with 20 minutes left but it was never going to be enough as Argentina closed out the game to cruise through.
Quarter Final Matches – Argentina ($1.73) v Germany ($2.34)
What We Learned – That England were simply not good enough at this tournament. An inexperienced pairing in the centre of defence once Ferdinand was ruled out and a hopelessly out of form Wayne Rooney were just the start of the problems. Rumours of team disunity and a number of poor displays on the pitch saw the English sent packing with their tails well and truly between their legs.
The Falcon’s Spud of the Day – Sepp Blatter (FIFA) – If ever there was overwhelming evidence for video replays for goal mouth incidents the England – Germany game was it. Blatter wants the game to be the same wherever it is played but lets face it, entire nations do not hold the breath over every kick of an Under 6’s game in Guatemala. Lampard’s shot could have been ruled a goal in seconds and may have changed the picture of the entire tournament. Hang your head in shame Mr Blatter.
Tonight’s Games – The bottom half of the top half of the draw is on display as the Netherlands take on Slovakia in a European derby. The Netherlands should be way to good here. The late game will see the first South American nation eliminated from the tournament as Brazil takes on Chile. The samba boys should also be far too good.
Suggested Investment – We are on a bit of roll at the moment with backing teams to advance but Brazil and the Netherlands are too short for that tonight. So instead we will take them both to win in normal time, which they should.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Argentina 3 (Tevez 26, 52, Higuain 33) - Mexico 1 (Hernandez 71)
The ghosts of Wembley in 1966 haunted the 2010 World Cup on Matchday 16, as England controversially had a goal dissallowed for not clearing the line as they were again eliminated by Germany, this time on the receiving end of a 4-1 thumping. History repeated in the late match as for the second tournament in a row Argentina eliminated Mexico in the round of 16 following a controversial 3-1 win.
But 44 years after 'the goal heard around the world', Germany will be feeling redemption this morning. In 1966, Geoff Hurst's goal was controversially judged to be over the line, giving England a 3-2 lead in the final. In 2010, Frank Lampad's wasn't – despite being a clear 2 yards over the line. Had it been allowed, that goal would have drawn England back level at 2-2, in a game they clearly deserved to trail in. Instead, they went into the break 2-1 down, were forced to chase the game in the second half, and were cut to shreds by a clinical German counter attack led by Mesut Oezil and Thomas Mueller, the final score 4-1. Germany deservedly took an early two goal lead through World Cup specialists Miroslav Klose and Lukas Podolski who scored a goal a piece. England reduced the deficit to one against the run of play through a powerful Matthew Upson header, before Lampard sent a cracking short crashing off the underside of the bar, and over the line. However, without help from his linesman the referee waved play on – and with it went England’s last hope. While the German’s looked trouble in defence at times, once England had to take the game to them in the second half their counter-attacking play was beautiful. A Thomas Mueller brace in just 3 second half minutes was enough to seal the game and send Germany on the quarter finals.
Germany will now face Argentina in the quarter-finals, a repeat of their match-up at this stage four years ago in Germany. As was the case for years ago, Argentina advanced by defeating Mexico, this time 3-1 in a game not without its own controversies. After a bright start Mexico dropped their bundle after Carlos Tevez gave Argentina the lead when he clearly looked to be in an offside position. Higuain added a second less than 10 minutes later, and when Tevez smashed in a superb long range effort early in the second half the game was as good as done at 3-0. Javier Hernandez produced a quality individual effort to drag Mexico bag to 3-1 with 20 minutes left but it was never going to be enough as Argentina closed out the game to cruise through.
Quarter Final Matches – Argentina ($1.73) v Germany ($2.34)
What We Learned – That England were simply not good enough at this tournament. An inexperienced pairing in the centre of defence once Ferdinand was ruled out and a hopelessly out of form Wayne Rooney were just the start of the problems. Rumours of team disunity and a number of poor displays on the pitch saw the English sent packing with their tails well and truly between their legs.
The Falcon’s Spud of the Day – Sepp Blatter (FIFA) – If ever there was overwhelming evidence for video replays for goal mouth incidents the England – Germany game was it. Blatter wants the game to be the same wherever it is played but lets face it, entire nations do not hold the breath over every kick of an Under 6’s game in Guatemala. Lampard’s shot could have been ruled a goal in seconds and may have changed the picture of the entire tournament. Hang your head in shame Mr Blatter.
Tonight’s Games – The bottom half of the top half of the draw is on display as the Netherlands take on Slovakia in a European derby. The Netherlands should be way to good here. The late game will see the first South American nation eliminated from the tournament as Brazil takes on Chile. The samba boys should also be far too good.
Suggested Investment – We are on a bit of roll at the moment with backing teams to advance but Brazil and the Netherlands are too short for that tonight. So instead we will take them both to win in normal time, which they should.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Saturday, June 26, 2010
Matchday 16 - Uruguay Uncompromising
Uruguay 2 - South Korea 1
USA 1 - Ghana 2 (after extra time)
Matchday 16 saw the start of the knockout stage of the tournament. Uruguay continued their charge to the semi-finals with a 2-1 win over South Korea, while Africa's last hope Ghana stayed alive after defeating the USA 2-1 after extra time.
But it is the ominous form of two time champions Uruguay that garnered the most notice on the day, a brace of goals from Luis Suarez seeing the South Americans overcome a dogged South Korea 2-1. Uruguay controlled the game early on and took a 1-0 lead after only 8 minutes after a Diego Forlan cross avoided the entire South Korean back four, allowing Suarez to slot home for a tight angle. As has been the case for most of the tournament, once Uruguay took the lead they set back and allowed the Koreans to come on to them. This seemed a strange strategy, especially given it allowed the Koreans to get a foothold in the game and dominate possesion. They finally took advantage halfway through the second half, a scramble in the box following a free kick allowing Lee to head home to tie the game at 1-1. Learning the lesson, the Uruguayan's again pressed forward, and they again took the lead with under 10 minutes to go following a stunning strike from Suarez, who curled the ball into the side of the goal from just outside the penalty box. Uruguay again sat back and defended to the last but this time they managed to keep the Koreans out to book a place in the quarter finals for the first time since 1970. The Koreans exit the tournament, but they will be happy with their performance to get out of their group.
Uruguay will now meet the last African hope in Ghana, after they overcame the USA 2-1 after extra time. The teams were locked at 1-1 after the 90 minutes with Landon Donovan's penalty offsetting an early Boateng strike. But it was an Asamoah Gyan strike early in extra time that proved the difference and sent the Americans packing. They will be dissapointed to exit after giving themselves a glorious chance of going deep in the tournament with a favourbale draw after winning their group.
Quarter Final Matches - Uruguay v Ghana
What We Learned - That Luis Suarez is one of the most underrated stirkers in the world. All the talk pre-tournament for Uruguay was about start striker Diego Forlan, but Suarez has outshone him in the goals department 3 to 2. He only got a handful of chances last night but he burried two of them and that proved the difference in the game. Uruguay will continue to be a threat at this tournament with him in the line up.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Oscar Tabarez (Uruguay) - Possibly a bit harsh as the Uruguay coach has guided his team to the last 8, but the decision to shut up shop and defend a 1-0 lead after taking it so early let Korea right back in the game, and they eventually equalised. Uruguay proved to be the better side when both teams were trying to attack and defending only let Korea in with a chance. The team may be made to pay if Tabarez makes similar tactical blunders against superior opposition.
Tonight's Games - A couple of cracking Round of 16 matches that could pass as semi-finals. Old rivals England and Germany resume their historical struggle - I expect the Germans just to edge this one, especially if it comes down to penalties. The late game sees a replay of the second round match of four years ago when Argentina takes on Mexico. Argentina have been brilliant at this tournament so far and should march on to the quarters.
Suggested Investment - Backing teams to advance worked for us last night so lets keep on with the good thing. The double of Germany and Argentina should do tonight - the Germans looking especially good value to advance at $2+ to get past the English.
USA 1 - Ghana 2 (after extra time)
Matchday 16 saw the start of the knockout stage of the tournament. Uruguay continued their charge to the semi-finals with a 2-1 win over South Korea, while Africa's last hope Ghana stayed alive after defeating the USA 2-1 after extra time.
But it is the ominous form of two time champions Uruguay that garnered the most notice on the day, a brace of goals from Luis Suarez seeing the South Americans overcome a dogged South Korea 2-1. Uruguay controlled the game early on and took a 1-0 lead after only 8 minutes after a Diego Forlan cross avoided the entire South Korean back four, allowing Suarez to slot home for a tight angle. As has been the case for most of the tournament, once Uruguay took the lead they set back and allowed the Koreans to come on to them. This seemed a strange strategy, especially given it allowed the Koreans to get a foothold in the game and dominate possesion. They finally took advantage halfway through the second half, a scramble in the box following a free kick allowing Lee to head home to tie the game at 1-1. Learning the lesson, the Uruguayan's again pressed forward, and they again took the lead with under 10 minutes to go following a stunning strike from Suarez, who curled the ball into the side of the goal from just outside the penalty box. Uruguay again sat back and defended to the last but this time they managed to keep the Koreans out to book a place in the quarter finals for the first time since 1970. The Koreans exit the tournament, but they will be happy with their performance to get out of their group.
Uruguay will now meet the last African hope in Ghana, after they overcame the USA 2-1 after extra time. The teams were locked at 1-1 after the 90 minutes with Landon Donovan's penalty offsetting an early Boateng strike. But it was an Asamoah Gyan strike early in extra time that proved the difference and sent the Americans packing. They will be dissapointed to exit after giving themselves a glorious chance of going deep in the tournament with a favourbale draw after winning their group.
Quarter Final Matches - Uruguay v Ghana
What We Learned - That Luis Suarez is one of the most underrated stirkers in the world. All the talk pre-tournament for Uruguay was about start striker Diego Forlan, but Suarez has outshone him in the goals department 3 to 2. He only got a handful of chances last night but he burried two of them and that proved the difference in the game. Uruguay will continue to be a threat at this tournament with him in the line up.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Oscar Tabarez (Uruguay) - Possibly a bit harsh as the Uruguay coach has guided his team to the last 8, but the decision to shut up shop and defend a 1-0 lead after taking it so early let Korea right back in the game, and they eventually equalised. Uruguay proved to be the better side when both teams were trying to attack and defending only let Korea in with a chance. The team may be made to pay if Tabarez makes similar tactical blunders against superior opposition.
Tonight's Games - A couple of cracking Round of 16 matches that could pass as semi-finals. Old rivals England and Germany resume their historical struggle - I expect the Germans just to edge this one, especially if it comes down to penalties. The late game sees a replay of the second round match of four years ago when Argentina takes on Mexico. Argentina have been brilliant at this tournament so far and should march on to the quarters.
Suggested Investment - Backing teams to advance worked for us last night so lets keep on with the good thing. The double of Germany and Argentina should do tonight - the Germans looking especially good value to advance at $2+ to get past the English.
Friday, June 25, 2010
Matchday 15 - Beware The Inquisition
Portugal 0 - Brazil 0
North Korea 0 - Cote d'Ivoire 3
Chile 1 - Spain 2
Switzerland 0 - Honduras 0
Matchday 15 saw the conclusion of the group stage. Portugal and Brazil played out a 0-0 draw to ensure both advanced from Group G at the expense of Cote d'Ivoire, their 3-0 win over North Korea not enough to see them advance. In Group H, Spain got the 3 points it needed to win the group with a 2-1 win over Chile, who also advanced after Switzerland could only manage a 0-0 draw with Honduras.
The highlight of the day was the continued return to form of Spain, their 2-1 win over Chile ensuring they topped Group H at put themselves on the opposite side of the draw to the tournament favourites, Brazil. With Iniesta returning to the side after injury, the European champions looked much more fluid and creative in midfield and created a number of chances through some superb passing moves. However, they were troubled by Chile early on with the South Americans having the best of the play until a horrendous goalkeeping error from Claudio Bravo allowed David Villa to score a stunning strike from over 35 yards out after Bravo ran miles outside his area in a failed clearing attempt. The goal ignited the Spaniard's who dominated the rest of the first half and the second goal, scored by Iniesta was the culmination of a fine series of inter-connected passes, Villa providing the final pass before Iniesta slotted low to the goalkeepers right. Chile were able to reduce the deficit back to one just after half time with Rodrigo Millar's deflected shot completely wrong-footing Iker Cassilas. With Switzerland and Honduras still locked at 0-0 in the other group game, that meant both Spain and Chile would advance at the current scoreline, and the second half petered out as a result, although Spain did continue to look lively. Chile also advanced to the second phase despite the loss, setting up a South American derby with Brazil in the next round.
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The match was perfectly summed up by SBS analyst Craig Foster post game - "Well there is 96 minutes of our lives we will never get back". This game was absolute garbage with Portugal not even trying to press forward. I just feel sorry for anyone that forked out $$$ to go see this game.
Second Round Matches - Brazil ($1.23) v Chile ($5), Spain ($1.50) v Portugal ($3)
What We Learned - That Spain look to be back on track. Apart from the concerning form of Fernando Torres, who was an early second half substitute, most of the Spanish players displayed good form, both collectively and as a team, against Chile. The win means they avoid Brazil in the second round and can set themselves for a big run to the semi-finals.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Claudio Bravo (Chile) - After his side had had the best of the early proceedings, Bravo charged out of his penalty box to clear a Spanish through ball on the left flank. His clearance bounced back to David Villa who, despite being 35 yards out, had an open goal at his mercy. The star striker made no mistake, give Spain the lead and the momentum, and the Chileans never recovered. Epic Fail!
Tonight's Games - The knockout round kicks off with the spectre of extra time and penalties hovering over every game. It all kicks off with Uruguay and South Korea, and Uruguay would be extremely disappointed not to go through here. The late game sees the USA take on Ghana - two teams that will never get a better chance to make the quarter-finals. I expect the spirit of Africa to get the Ghanaians over the line.
Suggested Investment - Hard to know how to play the knockout stages but we will start by trying a multi with Uruguay and Ghana to both advance to the quarter finals from their matches tonight.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
North Korea 0 - Cote d'Ivoire 3
Chile 1 - Spain 2
Switzerland 0 - Honduras 0
Matchday 15 saw the conclusion of the group stage. Portugal and Brazil played out a 0-0 draw to ensure both advanced from Group G at the expense of Cote d'Ivoire, their 3-0 win over North Korea not enough to see them advance. In Group H, Spain got the 3 points it needed to win the group with a 2-1 win over Chile, who also advanced after Switzerland could only manage a 0-0 draw with Honduras.
The highlight of the day was the continued return to form of Spain, their 2-1 win over Chile ensuring they topped Group H at put themselves on the opposite side of the draw to the tournament favourites, Brazil. With Iniesta returning to the side after injury, the European champions looked much more fluid and creative in midfield and created a number of chances through some superb passing moves. However, they were troubled by Chile early on with the South Americans having the best of the play until a horrendous goalkeeping error from Claudio Bravo allowed David Villa to score a stunning strike from over 35 yards out after Bravo ran miles outside his area in a failed clearing attempt. The goal ignited the Spaniard's who dominated the rest of the first half and the second goal, scored by Iniesta was the culmination of a fine series of inter-connected passes, Villa providing the final pass before Iniesta slotted low to the goalkeepers right. Chile were able to reduce the deficit back to one just after half time with Rodrigo Millar's deflected shot completely wrong-footing Iker Cassilas. With Switzerland and Honduras still locked at 0-0 in the other group game, that meant both Spain and Chile would advance at the current scoreline, and the second half petered out as a result, although Spain did continue to look lively. Chile also advanced to the second phase despite the loss, setting up a South American derby with Brazil in the next round.
Brazil took on Portugal in a battle for the top spot in Group G with both sides already having qualified for the second phase....and the result? zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
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The match was perfectly summed up by SBS analyst Craig Foster post game - "Well there is 96 minutes of our lives we will never get back". This game was absolute garbage with Portugal not even trying to press forward. I just feel sorry for anyone that forked out $$$ to go see this game.
Second Round Matches - Brazil ($1.23) v Chile ($5), Spain ($1.50) v Portugal ($3)
What We Learned - That Spain look to be back on track. Apart from the concerning form of Fernando Torres, who was an early second half substitute, most of the Spanish players displayed good form, both collectively and as a team, against Chile. The win means they avoid Brazil in the second round and can set themselves for a big run to the semi-finals.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Claudio Bravo (Chile) - After his side had had the best of the early proceedings, Bravo charged out of his penalty box to clear a Spanish through ball on the left flank. His clearance bounced back to David Villa who, despite being 35 yards out, had an open goal at his mercy. The star striker made no mistake, give Spain the lead and the momentum, and the Chileans never recovered. Epic Fail!
Tonight's Games - The knockout round kicks off with the spectre of extra time and penalties hovering over every game. It all kicks off with Uruguay and South Korea, and Uruguay would be extremely disappointed not to go through here. The late game sees the USA take on Ghana - two teams that will never get a better chance to make the quarter-finals. I expect the spirit of Africa to get the Ghanaians over the line.
Suggested Investment - Hard to know how to play the knockout stages but we will start by trying a multi with Uruguay and Ghana to both advance to the quarter finals from their matches tonight.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Thursday, June 24, 2010
Matchday 14 - Champs Crash Out
Slovakia 3 (Vittek 25, 73, Kopunek 89) - Italy 2 (Di Natale 81, Quagliarella 90+2)
Paraguay 0 - New Zealand 0
Denmark 1 (Tonasson 81) - Japan 3 (Honda 17, Endo 30, Okazaki 87)
Cameroon 1 (Eto'o 65p) - Netherlands 2 (Van Persie 36, Huntelaar 83)
Matchday 14 saw a sensation in South Africa as defending champion Italy crashed out of the tournament following a 3-2 loss to Slovakia. A 0-0 draw between Paraguay and New Zealand means the South Americans will top the group. In a virtual knockout clash in Group F, Japan defeated Denmark 2-1 to book a place in the last 16 alongside the Netherlands who defeated Cameroon 2-1.
In arguably the biggest shock at the tournament so far Italy succumbed to European minnows Slovakia despite 2 late goals. The defending champions trailed 2-0 with just 20 minutes to play following a pair of goals from Robert Vittek, but were able to pull one back through Anotnio Di Natale with 10 minutes left. However, a Kamil Kopunek strike in the last minute of normal time crushed Italian dreams, and despite a goal in injury time the Azzuri could not find the goal they needed to draw the game and advance. As a result, the Italians will finish bottom of the group with just 2 points, 1 less than the plucky New Zealanders who were eliminated from the tournament after a 0-0 draw with Paraguay. The Kiwi's can look back at the tournament with success after not having lost a game. Paraguay cruised through the group in the end and along with their South American neighbours Uruguay, look to be one of the dark horses in this years tournament. For the Italians, perennial slow starters at tournaments, for once they left their run of form too late, and the result is a shattering group stage exit.
In Group F, underdog's Japan produced a superb display of football to defeat Denmark 3-1 and advance to the second phase for the first time on foreign soil. The Japanese dominated the game and showed they were one of the few nations to master the Jabulani ball as they took a first half 2-0 lead on the back of two goals from direct free kicks (admittedly they might have got a touch of help from Danish goalkeeper Thomas Sorenson). The Danes were clearly shocked by the goals and took a while to recover. They bounced back in the second half and controlled most of the player but were struggling to create chances, and when they did they were brutally finished by Jon Dahl Tomasson who was finding it close to impossible to break his 2 year international goal drought. In the end, both Denmark and Tomasson received redemption via the penalty spot, the Danes reducing the deficit to win after Tomasson scored on the rebound after his initial effort was saved by the Japanese goalkeeper. The Danes had 10 minutes left to score 2 more goals to advance, but in their haste to push up the pitch they left the back door open (isn't it always the case) allowing Shinji Okazaki to finish the match and send Japan through to the knockout rounds. They will join group winners the Netherlands who had little trouble in dispatching a lacklustre Cameroon 2-1.
Second round matches - Netherlands ($1.17) v Slovakia ($5.50), Paraguay ($1.62) v Japan ($2.62)
What We Learned - That Italy were in fact too old, too slow, and too unprepared. Back-to-back draws against Paraguay and New Zealand were put down to the Italian tradition of starting tournaments slowly, but their true issues were finally unmasked when they failed to overcome their final hurdle in Slovakia. The Italians follow France in 2002 as defending champions to be eliminated at the group stage.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Thomas Sorenson (Denmark) - Yet another goalie to get the award but it was an easy choice given he let in two goals directly from free kicks in the opening half. That almost matches the entire amount of goals from free kicks conceded by every other team at the entire tournament! He nearly joined Robert Green with the ultimate howler, when he fumbled another blooper of a free kick only to see the ball bounce of the join of cross bar and post.
Tonight's Games - The Group stage of the tournament concludes with Brazil and Portugal competing for top spot in Group G. I expect a slightly weakened Brazil side to be able to do enough to hold Portugal to a draw. In the other game Ivory Coast will need to slot about 10 past North Korea to have any chance of qualifying. I'm sure they'll win easily but that score will be beyond them. All four teams can still qualify in Group F with Spain looking to win the group with a win over Chile - they should do that easily. That leaves Switzerland having to beat Honduras to qualify and they should have just enough in the tank to defeat the Latin Americans by the odd goal.
Suggested Investment - Sticking to the theme of betting in matches were results actually mean something (although that didn't really help last night!) I think the way to go is to take a multi with Spain and Switzerland to both win their Group F matches tomorrow morning.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Paraguay 0 - New Zealand 0
Denmark 1 (Tonasson 81) - Japan 3 (Honda 17, Endo 30, Okazaki 87)
Cameroon 1 (Eto'o 65p) - Netherlands 2 (Van Persie 36, Huntelaar 83)
Matchday 14 saw a sensation in South Africa as defending champion Italy crashed out of the tournament following a 3-2 loss to Slovakia. A 0-0 draw between Paraguay and New Zealand means the South Americans will top the group. In a virtual knockout clash in Group F, Japan defeated Denmark 2-1 to book a place in the last 16 alongside the Netherlands who defeated Cameroon 2-1.
In arguably the biggest shock at the tournament so far Italy succumbed to European minnows Slovakia despite 2 late goals. The defending champions trailed 2-0 with just 20 minutes to play following a pair of goals from Robert Vittek, but were able to pull one back through Anotnio Di Natale with 10 minutes left. However, a Kamil Kopunek strike in the last minute of normal time crushed Italian dreams, and despite a goal in injury time the Azzuri could not find the goal they needed to draw the game and advance. As a result, the Italians will finish bottom of the group with just 2 points, 1 less than the plucky New Zealanders who were eliminated from the tournament after a 0-0 draw with Paraguay. The Kiwi's can look back at the tournament with success after not having lost a game. Paraguay cruised through the group in the end and along with their South American neighbours Uruguay, look to be one of the dark horses in this years tournament. For the Italians, perennial slow starters at tournaments, for once they left their run of form too late, and the result is a shattering group stage exit.
In Group F, underdog's Japan produced a superb display of football to defeat Denmark 3-1 and advance to the second phase for the first time on foreign soil. The Japanese dominated the game and showed they were one of the few nations to master the Jabulani ball as they took a first half 2-0 lead on the back of two goals from direct free kicks (admittedly they might have got a touch of help from Danish goalkeeper Thomas Sorenson). The Danes were clearly shocked by the goals and took a while to recover. They bounced back in the second half and controlled most of the player but were struggling to create chances, and when they did they were brutally finished by Jon Dahl Tomasson who was finding it close to impossible to break his 2 year international goal drought. In the end, both Denmark and Tomasson received redemption via the penalty spot, the Danes reducing the deficit to win after Tomasson scored on the rebound after his initial effort was saved by the Japanese goalkeeper. The Danes had 10 minutes left to score 2 more goals to advance, but in their haste to push up the pitch they left the back door open (isn't it always the case) allowing Shinji Okazaki to finish the match and send Japan through to the knockout rounds. They will join group winners the Netherlands who had little trouble in dispatching a lacklustre Cameroon 2-1.
Second round matches - Netherlands ($1.17) v Slovakia ($5.50), Paraguay ($1.62) v Japan ($2.62)
What We Learned - That Italy were in fact too old, too slow, and too unprepared. Back-to-back draws against Paraguay and New Zealand were put down to the Italian tradition of starting tournaments slowly, but their true issues were finally unmasked when they failed to overcome their final hurdle in Slovakia. The Italians follow France in 2002 as defending champions to be eliminated at the group stage.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Thomas Sorenson (Denmark) - Yet another goalie to get the award but it was an easy choice given he let in two goals directly from free kicks in the opening half. That almost matches the entire amount of goals from free kicks conceded by every other team at the entire tournament! He nearly joined Robert Green with the ultimate howler, when he fumbled another blooper of a free kick only to see the ball bounce of the join of cross bar and post.
Tonight's Games - The Group stage of the tournament concludes with Brazil and Portugal competing for top spot in Group G. I expect a slightly weakened Brazil side to be able to do enough to hold Portugal to a draw. In the other game Ivory Coast will need to slot about 10 past North Korea to have any chance of qualifying. I'm sure they'll win easily but that score will be beyond them. All four teams can still qualify in Group F with Spain looking to win the group with a win over Chile - they should do that easily. That leaves Switzerland having to beat Honduras to qualify and they should have just enough in the tank to defeat the Latin Americans by the odd goal.
Suggested Investment - Sticking to the theme of betting in matches were results actually mean something (although that didn't really help last night!) I think the way to go is to take a multi with Spain and Switzerland to both win their Group F matches tomorrow morning.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Matchday 13 - The Last Post
Slovenia 0 - England 1 (Defoe 23)
USA 1 (Donovan 90+1) - Algeria 0
Ghana 0 - Germany (Oezil 60) 1
Australia 2 (Cahill 69, Holman 73) - Serbia 1 (Pantelic 84)
Matchday 13 proved unlucky for Australia, as the Socceroos were elimiated from the World Cup desipte a glorious 2-1 victory over Serbia. Instead a 1-0 win by Germany over Ghana was enough to see both teams advance from Group D. In Group C, a dramatic injury time winner from the United States saw them beat Algeria 1-0 and top the Group. England also advanced after they defeated Slovenia 1-0.
The 2010 World Cup will go down as a tournament of opportunity missed for Australia, after the Socceroos put in a stunning display to defeat Serbia 2-1. Unfortunately it was not enough for Australia to advance as Germany’s 1-0 win over Ghana meant that Australia finished only third in the group, behind Ghana on goal difference. But for 5 magical moments the dream of a miracle Australia was well and truly alive. In the space of just five minutes, a pair of goals from Tim Cahill and Brett Holman saw Australia take a 2-0 lead over Serbia, and combined with Germany’s slender lead over Serbia, Australia had turned around 3 of the 5 points of goal difference it needed to advance. However, a 1-0 result was enough for both Germany and Ghana to advance and neither side bothered to press forward after the goal. That left Australia having to score 2 more unanswered goals to advance. They pressed forward in a valiant attempt to reach that mark but in doing so opened themselves up at the back. The result was a late Serbian goal that killed of all hopes of Australia’s advancement. The Serbs then rushed forward as a draw would have seen them advance at Ghana’s suspense, but despite claims for a handball and a goal ruled out for offside (correctly!), they too would go home heartbroken. In summary, Australia were absolutely fantastic, and in my opinion were easily the second best team in the group. They deserved to advance but were unfortunately made to pay for their terrible opening game against Germany.
In a night of pure excitement the USA managed to top Group C (and avoid a second round clash with Germany) thanks to an injury time winner from Landon Donovan which procured them a 1-0 win over Algeria. They will advance alongside England, whose 1-0 win over Slovenia sets up a mouth watering second round clash with Germany. The English looked better than they had in their opening two matches at this tournament, but apart from a 20 minute spell mid-way through the first half (which included Jermaine Defoe’s goal), they still seemed to lack the quality and class of some of the better sides we have seen so far at the tournament. Wayne Rooney still looked to be well below his best and will rue a golden chance at getting his first goal of the tournament when he hit the post with only the goalkeeper to beat late in the second half. Still the English did look better with Defoe up front in place of Heskey, and Milner’s return to the side on the wide right provided more attacking thrust than Aaron Lennon had in previous games. Of concern will be the back four, with Matthew Upson looking a shaky replacement for Jamie Carragher at the back. On form, it would be hard to see England defeating Germany in their round of 16 game, and it remains to be seen whether a second round exit would be enough to see English manager Fabio Capello keep his job.
Second round matches – USA ($1.88) v Ghana ($2.00), Germany ($1.98) v England ($2.00)
What We Learned – That Australia would be made to pay for its opening game nightmare at the hands of Germany. From that match on Australia played some superb attacking football. They should have beaten Ghana (and probably would have with 11 men), and were more than a match for Serbia who had beaten Germany in their previous game. The tournament is a shattering lesson that every match should be played to win, no matter the opposition.
The Falcon’s Spud Of The Day – Nemanja Vidic (Serbia) – Admittedly he is one of the best defenders in the world but by god he complained and whinged whenever anyone went near him in the game. Timmy Cahill was clearly fouled by the Serb on a number of occasions yet Vidic felt it necessary to complain to the referee. Just another whinger (one of many) at this year’s tournament.
Tonight’s Games – Tonight sees matches in Group E and Group F finalised. In Group E, Denmark and Japan play a virtual knockout game with the winner advancing – I like the Danes. The other game sees the Netherlands (already qualified) take on Cameroon (already eliminated) and the Dutch should be far too good. In Group F, all four teams still have hopes of qualifying. Paraguay should be far too good for New Zealand and will win to top the group, while Italy should finally get the win they need to advance when they meet Slovakia.
Suggested Investment – At this stage of the tournament I prefer to back teams that have something to play for. Given that, Denmark and Italy both have to win to advance so I will be taking them to both win in a multi.
Prices courtesy of Betfair. Photo courtesy of SMH.
USA 1 (Donovan 90+1) - Algeria 0
Ghana 0 - Germany (Oezil 60) 1
Australia 2 (Cahill 69, Holman 73) - Serbia 1 (Pantelic 84)
Matchday 13 proved unlucky for Australia, as the Socceroos were elimiated from the World Cup desipte a glorious 2-1 victory over Serbia. Instead a 1-0 win by Germany over Ghana was enough to see both teams advance from Group D. In Group C, a dramatic injury time winner from the United States saw them beat Algeria 1-0 and top the Group. England also advanced after they defeated Slovenia 1-0.
The 2010 World Cup will go down as a tournament of opportunity missed for Australia, after the Socceroos put in a stunning display to defeat Serbia 2-1. Unfortunately it was not enough for Australia to advance as Germany’s 1-0 win over Ghana meant that Australia finished only third in the group, behind Ghana on goal difference. But for 5 magical moments the dream of a miracle Australia was well and truly alive. In the space of just five minutes, a pair of goals from Tim Cahill and Brett Holman saw Australia take a 2-0 lead over Serbia, and combined with Germany’s slender lead over Serbia, Australia had turned around 3 of the 5 points of goal difference it needed to advance. However, a 1-0 result was enough for both Germany and Ghana to advance and neither side bothered to press forward after the goal. That left Australia having to score 2 more unanswered goals to advance. They pressed forward in a valiant attempt to reach that mark but in doing so opened themselves up at the back. The result was a late Serbian goal that killed of all hopes of Australia’s advancement. The Serbs then rushed forward as a draw would have seen them advance at Ghana’s suspense, but despite claims for a handball and a goal ruled out for offside (correctly!), they too would go home heartbroken. In summary, Australia were absolutely fantastic, and in my opinion were easily the second best team in the group. They deserved to advance but were unfortunately made to pay for their terrible opening game against Germany.
In a night of pure excitement the USA managed to top Group C (and avoid a second round clash with Germany) thanks to an injury time winner from Landon Donovan which procured them a 1-0 win over Algeria. They will advance alongside England, whose 1-0 win over Slovenia sets up a mouth watering second round clash with Germany. The English looked better than they had in their opening two matches at this tournament, but apart from a 20 minute spell mid-way through the first half (which included Jermaine Defoe’s goal), they still seemed to lack the quality and class of some of the better sides we have seen so far at the tournament. Wayne Rooney still looked to be well below his best and will rue a golden chance at getting his first goal of the tournament when he hit the post with only the goalkeeper to beat late in the second half. Still the English did look better with Defoe up front in place of Heskey, and Milner’s return to the side on the wide right provided more attacking thrust than Aaron Lennon had in previous games. Of concern will be the back four, with Matthew Upson looking a shaky replacement for Jamie Carragher at the back. On form, it would be hard to see England defeating Germany in their round of 16 game, and it remains to be seen whether a second round exit would be enough to see English manager Fabio Capello keep his job.
Second round matches – USA ($1.88) v Ghana ($2.00), Germany ($1.98) v England ($2.00)
What We Learned – That Australia would be made to pay for its opening game nightmare at the hands of Germany. From that match on Australia played some superb attacking football. They should have beaten Ghana (and probably would have with 11 men), and were more than a match for Serbia who had beaten Germany in their previous game. The tournament is a shattering lesson that every match should be played to win, no matter the opposition.
The Falcon’s Spud Of The Day – Nemanja Vidic (Serbia) – Admittedly he is one of the best defenders in the world but by god he complained and whinged whenever anyone went near him in the game. Timmy Cahill was clearly fouled by the Serb on a number of occasions yet Vidic felt it necessary to complain to the referee. Just another whinger (one of many) at this year’s tournament.
Tonight’s Games – Tonight sees matches in Group E and Group F finalised. In Group E, Denmark and Japan play a virtual knockout game with the winner advancing – I like the Danes. The other game sees the Netherlands (already qualified) take on Cameroon (already eliminated) and the Dutch should be far too good. In Group F, all four teams still have hopes of qualifying. Paraguay should be far too good for New Zealand and will win to top the group, while Italy should finally get the win they need to advance when they meet Slovakia.
Suggested Investment – At this stage of the tournament I prefer to back teams that have something to play for. Given that, Denmark and Italy both have to win to advance so I will be taking them to both win in a multi.
Prices courtesy of Betfair. Photo courtesy of SMH.
Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Matchday 12 - A Continent Mourns
Mexico 0 - Uruguay 1 (Suarez 43)
France 1 (Malouda 70) - South Africa 2 (Khumalo 20, Mphela 37)
Nigeria 2 (Uche 12, Ayegbeni 69p) - South Korea 2 (Lee 38, Park 49)
Greece 0 - Argentina 2 (Demichelis 77, Palermo 89)
Matchday 12 saw two more African nations knocked out of the World Cup. Despite a 2-1 win over France, Uruguay could only beat Mexico 1-0, meaning those two countries advanced from Group A. In Group B, South Korea's 2-2 draw with Nigeria was enough to see it through to the last 16, following Argentina's 2-0 win over Greece.
The match between Mexico and Uruguay was much more exciting than many pundits would have predicted given that both sides could advance to the next round on the back of a draw. Uruguay played in a defensive style (although they did have 3 strikers) allowing Mexico a lot of the ball, which they used to their advantage with some good attacking play. However, they could not crack the tough Uruguayan defence, and warning bells would have been sounding on the Mexican bench when Luis Suarez gave the South Americans the lead just before half time finishing off a superb counter-attacking move. At the time South Africa were leading France 2-0 and were 3/5th's of the way to overturning the spread in goal difference in order to qualify. However, Mexico need not have worried as the goal all but sealed Uruguay's top spot in the group and ended any real interest they had in attacking. They were happy to sit back and let Mexico play with the ball, their defence more than capable of holding Mexico out in the second half. Despite the loss, Mexico still advanced to the next round with a 2-1 win for South Africa over France seeing Mexico advance on goal difference. In the process South Africa became the first host nation to be eliminated before the group stage, and France went out in disgrace, although they did at least score a goal unlike in the 2002 tournament.
Argentina ensured they advanced from Group B with a perfect record of 3 wins from 3 games after they defeated a stubborn Greece 2-0 in their final group match. This match was horrific to watch, mostly due to the horribly boring defensive tactics of Greece who at times were playing 6 or 7 men at the back! When stars like Lionel Messi did get on the ball in midfield they would cynically foul them. In the end it took Argentina almost 80 minutes to break down the Greek wall, Martin Demichelis finally doing the job from an Argentine corner. Martin Palermo sealed the points in the last minute of normal time following up a Messi shot that was saved by the Greek goaltender. The Argentineans displayed good patience in countering the ultra-defensive Greek tactics, especially with most of their first string players out. They will now take on Mexico in the second round in a repeat of the round of 16 match up that went to extra time in 2006. This result opened up the door for Nigeria to advance but they could only manage a 2-2 draw with South Korea after taking an early lead. The Koreans responded well, but Nigeria will be ruing some missed chances late in the game from the likes of Obafemi Martins and Yakubu which could (or should!) have seen the Africans qualify for the next round. Instead South Korea will do so in their place.
Second Round Matches - Argentina ($1.25) v Mexico ($4.30), Uruguay ($1.50) v South Korea ($2.80)
What We Learned - That Nigeria would pay in the end for their slip up against Greece. While Argentina and South Korea both beat the Greeks 2-0, the Nigerians suffered a 2-1 loss after taking the lead and being reduced to 10 men. A win in that game would have probably seen the Nigerians get through instead of the Koreans.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Georgios Karagounis (Greece) - One of the most horrible displays I have seen on the football field for some time. Captain of one of the most cynical/defensive teams in the world, Karagounis barely touched the ball, and instead spent the entire first half complaining to the referee about EVERY SINGLE DECISION!! Even the most blatant foul by the Greeks (and there were many) was questioned. Thankfully the muppet was subbed off at half time so we didn't have to put up with him for the full 90 minutes and he won't be back for the knockout stages.
Tonight's Games - An evening of ball-bursting games with all 8 teams playing capable of qualifying for the next round. In Group C England should get the win it needs to advance when it takes on Slovenia, while the USA look to top the group with a win over Algeria - I think they can. Group D sees the hopes of an Australian miracle on the line. While I expect Germany to beat Ghana comfortably, I can't see the Aussies getting over Serbia with qualification also on the line for the Serbs. A draw is the likely result.
Suggested Investment - With qualification on the line I expect big performances from Germany and England tonight, and both should win. Coupling them up in a multi is the best way to go.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
France 1 (Malouda 70) - South Africa 2 (Khumalo 20, Mphela 37)
Nigeria 2 (Uche 12, Ayegbeni 69p) - South Korea 2 (Lee 38, Park 49)
Greece 0 - Argentina 2 (Demichelis 77, Palermo 89)
Matchday 12 saw two more African nations knocked out of the World Cup. Despite a 2-1 win over France, Uruguay could only beat Mexico 1-0, meaning those two countries advanced from Group A. In Group B, South Korea's 2-2 draw with Nigeria was enough to see it through to the last 16, following Argentina's 2-0 win over Greece.
The match between Mexico and Uruguay was much more exciting than many pundits would have predicted given that both sides could advance to the next round on the back of a draw. Uruguay played in a defensive style (although they did have 3 strikers) allowing Mexico a lot of the ball, which they used to their advantage with some good attacking play. However, they could not crack the tough Uruguayan defence, and warning bells would have been sounding on the Mexican bench when Luis Suarez gave the South Americans the lead just before half time finishing off a superb counter-attacking move. At the time South Africa were leading France 2-0 and were 3/5th's of the way to overturning the spread in goal difference in order to qualify. However, Mexico need not have worried as the goal all but sealed Uruguay's top spot in the group and ended any real interest they had in attacking. They were happy to sit back and let Mexico play with the ball, their defence more than capable of holding Mexico out in the second half. Despite the loss, Mexico still advanced to the next round with a 2-1 win for South Africa over France seeing Mexico advance on goal difference. In the process South Africa became the first host nation to be eliminated before the group stage, and France went out in disgrace, although they did at least score a goal unlike in the 2002 tournament.
Argentina ensured they advanced from Group B with a perfect record of 3 wins from 3 games after they defeated a stubborn Greece 2-0 in their final group match. This match was horrific to watch, mostly due to the horribly boring defensive tactics of Greece who at times were playing 6 or 7 men at the back! When stars like Lionel Messi did get on the ball in midfield they would cynically foul them. In the end it took Argentina almost 80 minutes to break down the Greek wall, Martin Demichelis finally doing the job from an Argentine corner. Martin Palermo sealed the points in the last minute of normal time following up a Messi shot that was saved by the Greek goaltender. The Argentineans displayed good patience in countering the ultra-defensive Greek tactics, especially with most of their first string players out. They will now take on Mexico in the second round in a repeat of the round of 16 match up that went to extra time in 2006. This result opened up the door for Nigeria to advance but they could only manage a 2-2 draw with South Korea after taking an early lead. The Koreans responded well, but Nigeria will be ruing some missed chances late in the game from the likes of Obafemi Martins and Yakubu which could (or should!) have seen the Africans qualify for the next round. Instead South Korea will do so in their place.
Second Round Matches - Argentina ($1.25) v Mexico ($4.30), Uruguay ($1.50) v South Korea ($2.80)
What We Learned - That Nigeria would pay in the end for their slip up against Greece. While Argentina and South Korea both beat the Greeks 2-0, the Nigerians suffered a 2-1 loss after taking the lead and being reduced to 10 men. A win in that game would have probably seen the Nigerians get through instead of the Koreans.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Georgios Karagounis (Greece) - One of the most horrible displays I have seen on the football field for some time. Captain of one of the most cynical/defensive teams in the world, Karagounis barely touched the ball, and instead spent the entire first half complaining to the referee about EVERY SINGLE DECISION!! Even the most blatant foul by the Greeks (and there were many) was questioned. Thankfully the muppet was subbed off at half time so we didn't have to put up with him for the full 90 minutes and he won't be back for the knockout stages.
Tonight's Games - An evening of ball-bursting games with all 8 teams playing capable of qualifying for the next round. In Group C England should get the win it needs to advance when it takes on Slovenia, while the USA look to top the group with a win over Algeria - I think they can. Group D sees the hopes of an Australian miracle on the line. While I expect Germany to beat Ghana comfortably, I can't see the Aussies getting over Serbia with qualification also on the line for the Serbs. A draw is the likely result.
Suggested Investment - With qualification on the line I expect big performances from Germany and England tonight, and both should win. Coupling them up in a multi is the best way to go.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Monday, June 21, 2010
Matchday 11 - Seventh Heaven
Portugal 7 (Meireles 29, Simao 53, Almeida 56, Tiago 60, 89, Liedson 81, Ronaldo 87) - North Korea 0
Chile 1 (Gonzalez 75) - Switzerland 0
Spain 2 (Villa 17, 51) - Honduras 0
Matchday 11 saw the goals rain down in Cape Town as Portugal all but sowed up qualification with a 7-0 rout of North Korea. In Group G things got very interesting with Chile going to the top of the group with a 1-0 win over Swizterland, while Spain got their campaign back on track thanks to a 2-0 win over Honduras.
The performance of the Portuguese was easily the most dominant display at the tournament so far as they become the first time since Germany in 2002 to score at least 7 goals in a World Cup Finals game. Amazingly the first 20 minutes of the match was all North Korea who had a number of chances and could have taken the lead had star striker Jong Tae Se had a better first touch. But Portugal began to get on top in the second half and took the lead through a superbly taken goal by Raul Meireles. The break came up with Portugal leading 1-0, but after half time the Portuguese attack went nuclear! First Simao, Almeida, and Tiago all scored in a 7 minute burst to put the game beyond reach. The North Koreans received a brief period of respite before the last 10 minutes saw another three goals banged in, this time from Liedson, Ronaldo, and finally Tiago with his second. And it wasn’t like the North Koreans were being inept either (well perhaps they were with Liedson). Instead, Portugal produced a stunning display of football in the second half that any side will be hard pressed to match for the remainder of the tournament. The win all but guarantees Portugal a spot in the last 16, with Cote d’Ivoire needing to produce a similar performance to dislodge Portugal (unlikely!). Not surprisingly, the loss eliminates North Korea from the tournament.
In Group G, qualification looks to be going down to the wire between three teams. Chile claimed pole position with their second win over a 10-man Switzerland who bravely held on until the 75th minute before going down 1-0. And former tournament favourites Spain got their World Cup back on track with an excellent display against Latin minnows Honduras. A double from David Villa was all they needed to in a 2-0 victory.
Updated odds to advance - Group G - Brazil (n/a), Portugal ($1.01), Cote d'Ivoire ($65), North Korea (n/a). Group H - Switzerland ($1.50), Spain ($1.35), Chile ($1.60), Honduras ($100)
What We Learned – That the North Koreans were one hit wonders. Their superb display against Brazil was continued for around 20 minutes against Portugal but after that THEY WERE SMASHED! Let’s hope they can pick themselves up in the final group game against the cheating scum from Cote d’Ivoire.
The Falcon’s Spud of the Day – The Falcon (Author) – Figured the Portuguese would be in average form and would only struggle to beat North Korea by a single goal – OOPS! He then compounded the problem by leaving Christian Ronaldo (19 points!) and David Villa (13 points) on the bench in his fantasy team as he though it unlikely the would outscore Argentina’s Lionel Messi (7 points).
Tonight’s Games – From tonight on – one team goes home on every remaining day of the tournament. The last round of Group matches kick off with Mexico and Uruguay only needing a draw for both to advance – it is a certainly that draw will be achieved. France and South Africa playoff in what will probably be a dead rubber but I expect the French to win just in case there is a slip up from one side in the other game. In Group B, a second string Argentina side should still be too good for Greece. The final game sees South Korea take on Nigeria, and the Koreans should get the win they need to advance to the last 16.
Suggested Investment – The draw between Mexico and Uruguay must be taken. It is pure gold at $1.80 in a match that will almost certainly end up all square. I will be throwing them together in a multi with Argentina who should be way too good for Greece despite already having qualified.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Chile 1 (Gonzalez 75) - Switzerland 0
Spain 2 (Villa 17, 51) - Honduras 0
Matchday 11 saw the goals rain down in Cape Town as Portugal all but sowed up qualification with a 7-0 rout of North Korea. In Group G things got very interesting with Chile going to the top of the group with a 1-0 win over Swizterland, while Spain got their campaign back on track thanks to a 2-0 win over Honduras.
The performance of the Portuguese was easily the most dominant display at the tournament so far as they become the first time since Germany in 2002 to score at least 7 goals in a World Cup Finals game. Amazingly the first 20 minutes of the match was all North Korea who had a number of chances and could have taken the lead had star striker Jong Tae Se had a better first touch. But Portugal began to get on top in the second half and took the lead through a superbly taken goal by Raul Meireles. The break came up with Portugal leading 1-0, but after half time the Portuguese attack went nuclear! First Simao, Almeida, and Tiago all scored in a 7 minute burst to put the game beyond reach. The North Koreans received a brief period of respite before the last 10 minutes saw another three goals banged in, this time from Liedson, Ronaldo, and finally Tiago with his second. And it wasn’t like the North Koreans were being inept either (well perhaps they were with Liedson). Instead, Portugal produced a stunning display of football in the second half that any side will be hard pressed to match for the remainder of the tournament. The win all but guarantees Portugal a spot in the last 16, with Cote d’Ivoire needing to produce a similar performance to dislodge Portugal (unlikely!). Not surprisingly, the loss eliminates North Korea from the tournament.
In Group G, qualification looks to be going down to the wire between three teams. Chile claimed pole position with their second win over a 10-man Switzerland who bravely held on until the 75th minute before going down 1-0. And former tournament favourites Spain got their World Cup back on track with an excellent display against Latin minnows Honduras. A double from David Villa was all they needed to in a 2-0 victory.
Updated odds to advance - Group G - Brazil (n/a), Portugal ($1.01), Cote d'Ivoire ($65), North Korea (n/a). Group H - Switzerland ($1.50), Spain ($1.35), Chile ($1.60), Honduras ($100)
What We Learned – That the North Koreans were one hit wonders. Their superb display against Brazil was continued for around 20 minutes against Portugal but after that THEY WERE SMASHED! Let’s hope they can pick themselves up in the final group game against the cheating scum from Cote d’Ivoire.
The Falcon’s Spud of the Day – The Falcon (Author) – Figured the Portuguese would be in average form and would only struggle to beat North Korea by a single goal – OOPS! He then compounded the problem by leaving Christian Ronaldo (19 points!) and David Villa (13 points) on the bench in his fantasy team as he though it unlikely the would outscore Argentina’s Lionel Messi (7 points).
Tonight’s Games – From tonight on – one team goes home on every remaining day of the tournament. The last round of Group matches kick off with Mexico and Uruguay only needing a draw for both to advance – it is a certainly that draw will be achieved. France and South Africa playoff in what will probably be a dead rubber but I expect the French to win just in case there is a slip up from one side in the other game. In Group B, a second string Argentina side should still be too good for Greece. The final game sees South Korea take on Nigeria, and the Koreans should get the win they need to advance to the last 16.
Suggested Investment – The draw between Mexico and Uruguay must be taken. It is pure gold at $1.80 in a match that will almost certainly end up all square. I will be throwing them together in a multi with Argentina who should be way too good for Greece despite already having qualified.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Sunday, June 20, 2010
Matchday 10 - Samba Superstars
Slovakia 0 - Paraguay 2 (Vera 27, Riveros 86)
Italy 1 (Iaquinta 29p) - New Zealand 1 (Smeltz 7)
Brazil 3 (Fabiano 25, 50, Elano 62) - Cote d'Ivoire 1 (Drogba 79)
Matchday 10 saw Brazil firm into tournament favouritism after a superb 3-1 win over Cote d'Ivoire. New Zealand pulled off one of the great shocks in World Cup history in holding champions Italy to a 1-1 draw, while Paraguay took a stranglehold on qualification with a 2-0 win over Slovakia.
But it is the South American nations that look to have a tight grip on this tournament after Brazil crushed Cote d'Ivoire 3-1 in a superb display of attacking, passing football in the late game. All three goals were superb. The first set up by interplay between Robinho and Kaka and finished by Luis Fabiano. The second was a magnificent piece of individual brilliance by Fabiano (although their may have been a touch of handball about it), while Elano score the third, again thanks to Kaka, just before he went off with what looked to be a serious leg injury. The only downside for the Brazilians (outside the Elano injury) was a late red card to Kaka who was sent off for two bookable offences. However, the second was a result of blatant simulation by Kader Keita who should be ashamed of himself for trying to get a player sent off in a match that was already decided. In fact the whole Ivorian team were disgraceful after going 3-0 down, repeatedly committing petty fouls on the Brazilian players, as they could not stop them illegally. Cote d'Ivoire has a history of dirty play at World Cups having played a spiteful match with the Serbs as well in Germany 2006. Hopefully they do not make it to the knockout stages as there would be nothing worse than seeing them restrict a superior team through fouling. In any case Brazil has already qualified for the second round meaning Kaka will at least get some rest.
Paraguay moved a step closer to advancing from Group F when they clinically despatched Slovakia 2-0 to move to the top of the group. As expected, Paraguay’s golden generation, full of attacking flair and creativity proved too much for the Slovaks to handle, and the first goal was a superb finish from Enrique Vera. However, the group was thrown in to turmoil when New Zealand pulled off a shock 1-1 draw with Italy thanks to an early Shane Smeltz goal. It took a controversial penalty for the Italians to equalise and left both nations on 2 points, 2 behind the Paraguayans. It means Italy will need to win its last group game against the Slovaks to potentially avoid meeting the firing Dutch in the round of 16.
Updated odds to advance – Group F – Italy ($1.20), Paraguay ($1.05), Slovakia ($7), New Zealand ($8). Group G – Brazil (n/a), Portugal* ($1.40), Cote d’Ivoire ($4), North Korea* ($15).
* - Still to play
What We Learned - That this could be a World Cup dominated by the South Americans - Argentina and Brazil are virtually equal favourites to take the tile and Uruguay and Paraguay have also been extremely impressive thus far.
The Falcon’s Spud of the Day – Kader Keita (Cote d’Ivoire) – In a match that was becoming extremely spiteful, especially from the Ivorian side, Keita committed the ultimate injustice when his overreaction to a Kaka push saw the Brazilian superstar sent off for a second yellow card. I hope FIFA bans Keita for simulation but that is unlikely.
Tonight’s Games – The second round of Group matches finishes with Portugal taking on North Korea in Group F. I expect the Portuguese to take advantage of the Ivory Coast’s loss and grab a win here. Group E concludes with group leaders Chile taking on Switzerland while Spain takes on Honduras. I expect a tight draw in the first game while Spain should bounce back from their opening loss with a big win over their Latino rivals.
Suggested Investment – Finally we got another collect on the board with last night’s multi getting up. Both the Iberian teams are pretty short to win tonight so I think a good option would be to back the draw in the Chile – Switzerland game which looks good value at $3+.
Italy 1 (Iaquinta 29p) - New Zealand 1 (Smeltz 7)
Brazil 3 (Fabiano 25, 50, Elano 62) - Cote d'Ivoire 1 (Drogba 79)
Matchday 10 saw Brazil firm into tournament favouritism after a superb 3-1 win over Cote d'Ivoire. New Zealand pulled off one of the great shocks in World Cup history in holding champions Italy to a 1-1 draw, while Paraguay took a stranglehold on qualification with a 2-0 win over Slovakia.
But it is the South American nations that look to have a tight grip on this tournament after Brazil crushed Cote d'Ivoire 3-1 in a superb display of attacking, passing football in the late game. All three goals were superb. The first set up by interplay between Robinho and Kaka and finished by Luis Fabiano. The second was a magnificent piece of individual brilliance by Fabiano (although their may have been a touch of handball about it), while Elano score the third, again thanks to Kaka, just before he went off with what looked to be a serious leg injury. The only downside for the Brazilians (outside the Elano injury) was a late red card to Kaka who was sent off for two bookable offences. However, the second was a result of blatant simulation by Kader Keita who should be ashamed of himself for trying to get a player sent off in a match that was already decided. In fact the whole Ivorian team were disgraceful after going 3-0 down, repeatedly committing petty fouls on the Brazilian players, as they could not stop them illegally. Cote d'Ivoire has a history of dirty play at World Cups having played a spiteful match with the Serbs as well in Germany 2006. Hopefully they do not make it to the knockout stages as there would be nothing worse than seeing them restrict a superior team through fouling. In any case Brazil has already qualified for the second round meaning Kaka will at least get some rest.
Paraguay moved a step closer to advancing from Group F when they clinically despatched Slovakia 2-0 to move to the top of the group. As expected, Paraguay’s golden generation, full of attacking flair and creativity proved too much for the Slovaks to handle, and the first goal was a superb finish from Enrique Vera. However, the group was thrown in to turmoil when New Zealand pulled off a shock 1-1 draw with Italy thanks to an early Shane Smeltz goal. It took a controversial penalty for the Italians to equalise and left both nations on 2 points, 2 behind the Paraguayans. It means Italy will need to win its last group game against the Slovaks to potentially avoid meeting the firing Dutch in the round of 16.
Updated odds to advance – Group F – Italy ($1.20), Paraguay ($1.05), Slovakia ($7), New Zealand ($8). Group G – Brazil (n/a), Portugal* ($1.40), Cote d’Ivoire ($4), North Korea* ($15).
* - Still to play
What We Learned - That this could be a World Cup dominated by the South Americans - Argentina and Brazil are virtually equal favourites to take the tile and Uruguay and Paraguay have also been extremely impressive thus far.
The Falcon’s Spud of the Day – Kader Keita (Cote d’Ivoire) – In a match that was becoming extremely spiteful, especially from the Ivorian side, Keita committed the ultimate injustice when his overreaction to a Kaka push saw the Brazilian superstar sent off for a second yellow card. I hope FIFA bans Keita for simulation but that is unlikely.
Tonight’s Games – The second round of Group matches finishes with Portugal taking on North Korea in Group F. I expect the Portuguese to take advantage of the Ivory Coast’s loss and grab a win here. Group E concludes with group leaders Chile taking on Switzerland while Spain takes on Honduras. I expect a tight draw in the first game while Spain should bounce back from their opening loss with a big win over their Latino rivals.
Suggested Investment – Finally we got another collect on the board with last night’s multi getting up. Both the Iberian teams are pretty short to win tonight so I think a good option would be to back the draw in the Chile – Switzerland game which looks good value at $3+.
Saturday, June 19, 2010
Matchday 9 - For Whom The Bell Tolls
Netherlands 1 (Sneijder 53) - Japan 0
Ghana 1 (Gyan 25p) - Australia 1 (Holman 11)
Cameroon 1 (Eto'o 10) - Denmark 2 (Bendter 33, Rommedahl 61)
Matchday 9 saw Australia sent to the brink of elimination after a 1-1 draw against Ghana. In Group E Cameroon were eliminated following a 2-1 loss to Denmark, and the Netherlands booked their place in the last 16 with a 1-0 win over Japan.
Australian's have woken up this morning with the Socceroos on the verge of elimination from the World Cup after a heart-breaking 1-1 draw with Ghana overnight. The result takes the destiny of qualification out of Australia's hands. They must beat Serbia in their final group game to advance and hope that Ghana can defeat Germany (unlikely!). Alternatively, if Germany defeat Ghana, their margin of victory combined with the margin of Australia's victory of Serbia must total at least 5 goals. It is a monumental task for the Socceroos to overcome, and one they don't deserve after a brilliant performance against Ghana. The Socceroos took an early lead thanks to former whipping boy Brett Holman in the 11th minute, before disaster struck in the 25th minute. Harry Kewell was shown a (deserved) straight red card for a handball in the penalty box, and Gyan slotted the penalty for Ghana to even the game at 1-1. Needing to win the game Australia could not hold out for draw, and they bravely pressed on with great attacking spirit creating a number of chances. Perhaps Australia's last chance at qualification came with only 15 minutes to go, when Luke Wilkshire found himself unmarked in the penalty box with only the goalie to beat. Tragically he shot straight at the keeper, and with that, Australia's chance for a famous victory disappeared. Still, the country should be proud of the team who fought out the entire game and probably deserved to win. Their is still hope for a miracle on the last matchday in a World Cup that has delivered little luck to Australia thus far.
Group E's qualification will go down to the final match between Japan and Denmark after the Netherlands booked their place in the last 16 with a 1-0 win over Japan, and the Danes eliminated Cameroon with a come from behind 2-1 win. The Dutch were held well by the Samurai's in the first half but produced an excellent display in the second half. The winner finally came from Wesley Sneijder (captain of my fantasy team - bang!) whose long range shot was deflected into the goal by the Japanese goaltender. The Dutch looked good in patches but were still a little short of the better performers we have seen at the tournament so far (Argentina, Brazil, Germany) in my opinion.
Updated odds to advance - Group D - Germany ($1.30), Serbia ($1.50), Ghana ($1.80), Australia ($20). Group E - Netherlands (n/a), Japan ($1.70), Denmark ($2.30), Cameroon (n/a)
What We Learned - That Australia was good enough to get out of this group. Luck has absolutely deserted them at this tournament with back-to-back red cards, and Serbia fluking a win over Germany. When playing attacking football with attacking players this side is not that far of the 2006 cohort. The 2010 World Cup may be looked back on as a case of what might have been.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Cameroon - The first World Cup on your own continent and you get yourself eliminated after just 2 games with losses to relative football small fry countries Japan and Denmark? An appalling effort from the first African nation to make it to the quarter final stages.
Tonight's Games - We get the second round of matches in Group F starting with Slovakia and Paraguay. After pushing Italy the Paraguayans should be far too strong for the Slovaks. Italy takes on Australasia's other hope in New Zealand, and the defending champs should be far too strong. The late game sees a cracker with Brazil taking on Cote d'Ivoire. I expect the South Americans to just edge this one.
Suggested Investment - I will be taking a South American multi today and taking Paraguay and Brazil both to win their matches.
Ghana 1 (Gyan 25p) - Australia 1 (Holman 11)
Cameroon 1 (Eto'o 10) - Denmark 2 (Bendter 33, Rommedahl 61)
Matchday 9 saw Australia sent to the brink of elimination after a 1-1 draw against Ghana. In Group E Cameroon were eliminated following a 2-1 loss to Denmark, and the Netherlands booked their place in the last 16 with a 1-0 win over Japan.
Australian's have woken up this morning with the Socceroos on the verge of elimination from the World Cup after a heart-breaking 1-1 draw with Ghana overnight. The result takes the destiny of qualification out of Australia's hands. They must beat Serbia in their final group game to advance and hope that Ghana can defeat Germany (unlikely!). Alternatively, if Germany defeat Ghana, their margin of victory combined with the margin of Australia's victory of Serbia must total at least 5 goals. It is a monumental task for the Socceroos to overcome, and one they don't deserve after a brilliant performance against Ghana. The Socceroos took an early lead thanks to former whipping boy Brett Holman in the 11th minute, before disaster struck in the 25th minute. Harry Kewell was shown a (deserved) straight red card for a handball in the penalty box, and Gyan slotted the penalty for Ghana to even the game at 1-1. Needing to win the game Australia could not hold out for draw, and they bravely pressed on with great attacking spirit creating a number of chances. Perhaps Australia's last chance at qualification came with only 15 minutes to go, when Luke Wilkshire found himself unmarked in the penalty box with only the goalie to beat. Tragically he shot straight at the keeper, and with that, Australia's chance for a famous victory disappeared. Still, the country should be proud of the team who fought out the entire game and probably deserved to win. Their is still hope for a miracle on the last matchday in a World Cup that has delivered little luck to Australia thus far.
Group E's qualification will go down to the final match between Japan and Denmark after the Netherlands booked their place in the last 16 with a 1-0 win over Japan, and the Danes eliminated Cameroon with a come from behind 2-1 win. The Dutch were held well by the Samurai's in the first half but produced an excellent display in the second half. The winner finally came from Wesley Sneijder (captain of my fantasy team - bang!) whose long range shot was deflected into the goal by the Japanese goaltender. The Dutch looked good in patches but were still a little short of the better performers we have seen at the tournament so far (Argentina, Brazil, Germany) in my opinion.
Updated odds to advance - Group D - Germany ($1.30), Serbia ($1.50), Ghana ($1.80), Australia ($20). Group E - Netherlands (n/a), Japan ($1.70), Denmark ($2.30), Cameroon (n/a)
What We Learned - That Australia was good enough to get out of this group. Luck has absolutely deserted them at this tournament with back-to-back red cards, and Serbia fluking a win over Germany. When playing attacking football with attacking players this side is not that far of the 2006 cohort. The 2010 World Cup may be looked back on as a case of what might have been.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Cameroon - The first World Cup on your own continent and you get yourself eliminated after just 2 games with losses to relative football small fry countries Japan and Denmark? An appalling effort from the first African nation to make it to the quarter final stages.
Tonight's Games - We get the second round of matches in Group F starting with Slovakia and Paraguay. After pushing Italy the Paraguayans should be far too strong for the Slovaks. Italy takes on Australasia's other hope in New Zealand, and the defending champs should be far too strong. The late game sees a cracker with Brazil taking on Cote d'Ivoire. I expect the South Americans to just edge this one.
Suggested Investment - I will be taking a South American multi today and taking Paraguay and Brazil both to win their matches.
Friday, June 18, 2010
Matchday 8 - Fooled By Randomness
Germany 0 - Serbia 1 (Jovanovic 38)
Slovenia 2 (Birsa 13, Ljubijankic 42) - USA 2 (Donovan 48, Bradley 82)
England 0 - Algeria 0
Matchday 8 saw the tipster's nightmare continue at the 2010 World Cup with another three favourites failing to get the full 3 points. Serbia handed Germany its first group stage defeat since 1986 with a 1-0 win, Slovenia managed to hold the USA to a 2-2 draw, and a brave Algeria halted the might of England to get a point in a 0-0 result.
The early game ended in the worst possible result for Australia after Serbia defeated a 10-man Germany 1-0. This left every team in Group D except Australia on 3 points and means that the Aussies must now win their final two group games to advance to the knockout stages. The Serbs shocked the world by handing the Germans their first group game defeat since 1986, but in truth they were undeserved winners. Miroslav Klose was extremely harshly sent off (especially given I had backed him for first goalscorer) for two first-half yellow cards that were extremely soft. Earlier he had a goal ruled out after being judged to be in an offside position (this was close too!). Just minutes after the red card the Serbs nabbed the only goal of the game through Milan Jovanavic. Outside the goal however the Germans dominated and if not for the ineptness of Lukas Podolski would have got at least level and could have gone on to win the game. Podolski blew a host of chances culminating in a missed penalty of Serbia committed another hand ball in the penalty box. Despite the loss the Germans should not be too worried, as they completely dominated open play. They will have no problems beating Ghana to advance as Group Winners. The Serbs now have destiny in their own hands and a defeat of Australia in their final group game will see them advance to the knockout stages.
Group C's second round of matches kicked off with a crazy 2-2 draw between Slovenia and the USA. Slovenia all but had a foot in the last 16 after they led 2-0 at the break but a sensational second half comeback from the Yanks saw them grab a point and keep their qualification hopes alive. In fact the USA arguably should have taken all three points with a what looked a clear third goal by substitute Maurice Edo in the last 10 minutes inextricably ruled out by the referee after a supposed previous foul in the box. It looked a horrible overrule at first glance and the USA will feel extremely aggrieved if they fail to qualify on the back of that decision. Still the two sides played a very entertaining game of football that included some quality finishing from both sides. Slovenia's first goal from Valter Birsa who blasted home from well outside the box with Tim Howard stranded. It was hardly a glamour night for the goalies either with the Slovenian keeper's efforts on Landon Donovan's first half goal looking extremely weak after Donovovan bore down on his near post. The result means the US will most likely need to win its final group game over Algeria to advance, while a point for Slovenia against the might of England would see them through. Having blown a 2-0 lead here however, they may have missed their chance.
The late game saw a staggeringly poor performance by England who failed to break down a stout Algerian defence, resulting in a 0-0 draw. The memories brought back efforts of the French team earlier in the tournament as a team of superstars completely failed to gel, and in the end Algeria arguably had the better chances on goal (or though neither side really deserved to win the game). A massive concern for England would be the form of star striker Wayne Rooney who was completely invisible for the second straight game. You almost hope that he has a slight niggle because if he is playing at this level fully fit it is a real worry. On it's first two performances you would have to say that England is absolutely buckley's of challenging at the later end of this tournament. They created absolutely nothing against a side that had lost five of its last 6 friendlies and they now will most likely need to win their final game against the Slovenians if they are even to get out of the group. Ominously a final 16 match up against the Germans awaits and on form they would be pounded. The Algerians were exceptionally brave and have now given themselves a chance of qualifying if they can defeat the USA in their final group game.
Updated Odds To Advance - Group C -England ($1.50), USA ($1.65), Slovenia ($1.75), Algeria ($5.50). Group D - Germany ($1.30), Ghana* ($1.70), Serbia ($1.75), Australia* ($10)
*Still to qualify
What We Learned - That no results can be taken for granted at this World Cup with another three fancied nations dropping points over night. The cold weather has allowed lesser teams to defend for the entire 90 minutes and the result as been a number of surprising results. Many Group's will go right down to the last minute of the final group games now and we might see some major omissions from the knockout rounds.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Lukas Podolski (Germany) - The spud who put Australia's qualification hopes on the rack in our opening group game had an absolute shocker, missing chance after chance to get Germany back level after they were 1-0 down and had lost striker Miroslav Klose. Topped it all off by missing a penalty that would have put Germany right back in the game. He should be playing for Poland anyway.
Tonight's Games - The early game sees the return of Group E with the Netherlands taking on Japan. The Dutch should be way too good. At midnight Australia puts everything on the line. They must beat Ghana to keep their qualification hopes alive. Sadly I think the Ghanaians will wrap up their own qualification with a win. The late game sees Cameroon take on Denmark with both nations looking for their first point of the tournament. I think the Danes will just edge this one.
Suggested Investment - The only win we have had at this tournament so far has been on Australia to lose so we may as well stick with that strategy. I will be putting plenty on Ghana to win (with the draw = money back option) as the ultimate emotional hedge.
Slovenia 2 (Birsa 13, Ljubijankic 42) - USA 2 (Donovan 48, Bradley 82)
England 0 - Algeria 0
Matchday 8 saw the tipster's nightmare continue at the 2010 World Cup with another three favourites failing to get the full 3 points. Serbia handed Germany its first group stage defeat since 1986 with a 1-0 win, Slovenia managed to hold the USA to a 2-2 draw, and a brave Algeria halted the might of England to get a point in a 0-0 result.
The early game ended in the worst possible result for Australia after Serbia defeated a 10-man Germany 1-0. This left every team in Group D except Australia on 3 points and means that the Aussies must now win their final two group games to advance to the knockout stages. The Serbs shocked the world by handing the Germans their first group game defeat since 1986, but in truth they were undeserved winners. Miroslav Klose was extremely harshly sent off (especially given I had backed him for first goalscorer) for two first-half yellow cards that were extremely soft. Earlier he had a goal ruled out after being judged to be in an offside position (this was close too!). Just minutes after the red card the Serbs nabbed the only goal of the game through Milan Jovanavic. Outside the goal however the Germans dominated and if not for the ineptness of Lukas Podolski would have got at least level and could have gone on to win the game. Podolski blew a host of chances culminating in a missed penalty of Serbia committed another hand ball in the penalty box. Despite the loss the Germans should not be too worried, as they completely dominated open play. They will have no problems beating Ghana to advance as Group Winners. The Serbs now have destiny in their own hands and a defeat of Australia in their final group game will see them advance to the knockout stages.
Group C's second round of matches kicked off with a crazy 2-2 draw between Slovenia and the USA. Slovenia all but had a foot in the last 16 after they led 2-0 at the break but a sensational second half comeback from the Yanks saw them grab a point and keep their qualification hopes alive. In fact the USA arguably should have taken all three points with a what looked a clear third goal by substitute Maurice Edo in the last 10 minutes inextricably ruled out by the referee after a supposed previous foul in the box. It looked a horrible overrule at first glance and the USA will feel extremely aggrieved if they fail to qualify on the back of that decision. Still the two sides played a very entertaining game of football that included some quality finishing from both sides. Slovenia's first goal from Valter Birsa who blasted home from well outside the box with Tim Howard stranded. It was hardly a glamour night for the goalies either with the Slovenian keeper's efforts on Landon Donovan's first half goal looking extremely weak after Donovovan bore down on his near post. The result means the US will most likely need to win its final group game over Algeria to advance, while a point for Slovenia against the might of England would see them through. Having blown a 2-0 lead here however, they may have missed their chance.
The late game saw a staggeringly poor performance by England who failed to break down a stout Algerian defence, resulting in a 0-0 draw. The memories brought back efforts of the French team earlier in the tournament as a team of superstars completely failed to gel, and in the end Algeria arguably had the better chances on goal (or though neither side really deserved to win the game). A massive concern for England would be the form of star striker Wayne Rooney who was completely invisible for the second straight game. You almost hope that he has a slight niggle because if he is playing at this level fully fit it is a real worry. On it's first two performances you would have to say that England is absolutely buckley's of challenging at the later end of this tournament. They created absolutely nothing against a side that had lost five of its last 6 friendlies and they now will most likely need to win their final game against the Slovenians if they are even to get out of the group. Ominously a final 16 match up against the Germans awaits and on form they would be pounded. The Algerians were exceptionally brave and have now given themselves a chance of qualifying if they can defeat the USA in their final group game.
Updated Odds To Advance - Group C -England ($1.50), USA ($1.65), Slovenia ($1.75), Algeria ($5.50). Group D - Germany ($1.30), Ghana* ($1.70), Serbia ($1.75), Australia* ($10)
*Still to qualify
What We Learned - That no results can be taken for granted at this World Cup with another three fancied nations dropping points over night. The cold weather has allowed lesser teams to defend for the entire 90 minutes and the result as been a number of surprising results. Many Group's will go right down to the last minute of the final group games now and we might see some major omissions from the knockout rounds.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Lukas Podolski (Germany) - The spud who put Australia's qualification hopes on the rack in our opening group game had an absolute shocker, missing chance after chance to get Germany back level after they were 1-0 down and had lost striker Miroslav Klose. Topped it all off by missing a penalty that would have put Germany right back in the game. He should be playing for Poland anyway.
Tonight's Games - The early game sees the return of Group E with the Netherlands taking on Japan. The Dutch should be way too good. At midnight Australia puts everything on the line. They must beat Ghana to keep their qualification hopes alive. Sadly I think the Ghanaians will wrap up their own qualification with a win. The late game sees Cameroon take on Denmark with both nations looking for their first point of the tournament. I think the Danes will just edge this one.
Suggested Investment - The only win we have had at this tournament so far has been on Australia to lose so we may as well stick with that strategy. I will be putting plenty on Ghana to win (with the draw = money back option) as the ultimate emotional hedge.
Thursday, June 17, 2010
Matchday 7 - And France Falls
Argentina 4 (Park 17og, Higuain 33, 76, 80) - South Korea 1 (Lee 45)
Greece 2 (Salpingidis 44, Torosidis 71) - Nigeria 1 (Uche 16)
France 0 - Mexico 2 (Hernandez 64, Blanco 79p)
The shocks continued on matchday 7 with Mexico all but ending the tournament of 2006 finalist France with a 2-0 win, Greece coming from a goal behind to beat 10 man Nigeria 2-1, and Argentina rocketing into tournament favouritism with a 4-1 annihilation of South Korea.
But it is to the disaster of the French we turn first. France are on the brink of elimination from the tournament after producing another insipid display to lose 2-0 to Mexico. After a fairly even first half, the calamity began when second half substitute Javier Hernandez was able to break the French off side trap, round the keeper, and slot home to give the Meixcan's a lead they arguably deserved on the balance of second half play. All hope was lost when 37 year old Cuauhtemoc Blanco coolly slotted home a 79th minute penalty to become the 3rd oldest World Cup goalscorer in history, and virtually stamp the plane tickets of the 2006 finalists. France showed absolutely no desire or heart for the challenge after going 1-0 down and in fact they surrendered as meekly as they did some 70 years ago around this time. There seems to be no team spirit or togetherness in the camp and the selection policy remains appalling with Thierry Henry remaining on the bench for the entire game, even when it was obvious France needed someone with a bit of creativity on the field. This a glorious result for Mexico who now go equal top of the group with Uruguay on 4 points. A draw between Mexico and Uruguay in their final group game would see both sides advance - and that usually means that a draw will be the result if past World Cups are anything to go bye.
As bad as France were, Argentina were good....and then some!!! The men in the light blue and white stripes are now outright World Cup favourites after demolishing South Korea 4-1 in the best performance of the tournament so far. Their attacking players absolutely starred. Lionel Messi was everywhere, and was at the heart of almost every goal. After missing a host of chances in their group opener Gonzalo Higuain more than made up for himself netting a hattrick to take the lead (and favouritism) in the race for the Golden Boot. Carlos Tevez was superb linking up defenders, midfielders and strikers alike. They scored goals from quality set pieces and barnstorming runs from open play. In short - they were unstoppable. Let's hope they haven't peaked too early as happened in 2006. The Koreans were brave, but were simply outclassed by a team of superstars actually playing as a team (take note France). The win all but guarantees Argentina's advancement (barring a 10-0 loss to Greece in their final group game - unlikely!). Despite the heavy loss Korea is still in the box seat to advance to the round of 16 after Nigeria inexplicably went down 2-1 to Greece in the other Group B match. A draw for Korea against the Africans in the final group game will be enough to see them go through barring a highly unlikely Greek victory over Argentina.
Updated odds to advance - Group A - Uruguay ($1.05), Mexico ($1.05), France ($11), South Africa ($40). Group B - Argentina (n/a), South Korea ($1.70), Greece ($4.50), Nigeria ($5)
What We Learned - All the reports of division in the French camp are true. They have been atrocious here. No teamwork, no togetherness, poor team selection, and for the second time in three tournaments they face going home without even scoring a goal. Another sad morning for French football.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Raymond Domenech (France - manager) - Surely the worst ever manager to take a team to the World Cup final. Not starting Henry (again!), let alone leaving him on the bench despite going 1-0 is an unforgivable error of judgement and management. The quicker this guy is sacked the quicker French football will recover. Zizou for national manager anyone?
Tonight's Games - It is a night of distinct World War II flavour with England, the USA, and Germany all in action, and all favoured to win their matches. In Group C England takes on Algeria, while the USA faces European minnows Slovenia. While Germany meets Serbia in a match Aussie fans hope will end in a big German win. I think the 3 big guns should all get the 3 points on the night.
Suggested Investment - Still no collect outside Germany would you believe, I am going to stick with the multi's for now and take England-USA-Germany all to win tonight. Germany especially look massive overs at $1.65 to beat Serbia. Surely I am due!?!
Greece 2 (Salpingidis 44, Torosidis 71) - Nigeria 1 (Uche 16)
France 0 - Mexico 2 (Hernandez 64, Blanco 79p)
The shocks continued on matchday 7 with Mexico all but ending the tournament of 2006 finalist France with a 2-0 win, Greece coming from a goal behind to beat 10 man Nigeria 2-1, and Argentina rocketing into tournament favouritism with a 4-1 annihilation of South Korea.
But it is to the disaster of the French we turn first. France are on the brink of elimination from the tournament after producing another insipid display to lose 2-0 to Mexico. After a fairly even first half, the calamity began when second half substitute Javier Hernandez was able to break the French off side trap, round the keeper, and slot home to give the Meixcan's a lead they arguably deserved on the balance of second half play. All hope was lost when 37 year old Cuauhtemoc Blanco coolly slotted home a 79th minute penalty to become the 3rd oldest World Cup goalscorer in history, and virtually stamp the plane tickets of the 2006 finalists. France showed absolutely no desire or heart for the challenge after going 1-0 down and in fact they surrendered as meekly as they did some 70 years ago around this time. There seems to be no team spirit or togetherness in the camp and the selection policy remains appalling with Thierry Henry remaining on the bench for the entire game, even when it was obvious France needed someone with a bit of creativity on the field. This a glorious result for Mexico who now go equal top of the group with Uruguay on 4 points. A draw between Mexico and Uruguay in their final group game would see both sides advance - and that usually means that a draw will be the result if past World Cups are anything to go bye.
As bad as France were, Argentina were good....and then some!!! The men in the light blue and white stripes are now outright World Cup favourites after demolishing South Korea 4-1 in the best performance of the tournament so far. Their attacking players absolutely starred. Lionel Messi was everywhere, and was at the heart of almost every goal. After missing a host of chances in their group opener Gonzalo Higuain more than made up for himself netting a hattrick to take the lead (and favouritism) in the race for the Golden Boot. Carlos Tevez was superb linking up defenders, midfielders and strikers alike. They scored goals from quality set pieces and barnstorming runs from open play. In short - they were unstoppable. Let's hope they haven't peaked too early as happened in 2006. The Koreans were brave, but were simply outclassed by a team of superstars actually playing as a team (take note France). The win all but guarantees Argentina's advancement (barring a 10-0 loss to Greece in their final group game - unlikely!). Despite the heavy loss Korea is still in the box seat to advance to the round of 16 after Nigeria inexplicably went down 2-1 to Greece in the other Group B match. A draw for Korea against the Africans in the final group game will be enough to see them go through barring a highly unlikely Greek victory over Argentina.
Updated odds to advance - Group A - Uruguay ($1.05), Mexico ($1.05), France ($11), South Africa ($40). Group B - Argentina (n/a), South Korea ($1.70), Greece ($4.50), Nigeria ($5)
What We Learned - All the reports of division in the French camp are true. They have been atrocious here. No teamwork, no togetherness, poor team selection, and for the second time in three tournaments they face going home without even scoring a goal. Another sad morning for French football.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Raymond Domenech (France - manager) - Surely the worst ever manager to take a team to the World Cup final. Not starting Henry (again!), let alone leaving him on the bench despite going 1-0 is an unforgivable error of judgement and management. The quicker this guy is sacked the quicker French football will recover. Zizou for national manager anyone?
Tonight's Games - It is a night of distinct World War II flavour with England, the USA, and Germany all in action, and all favoured to win their matches. In Group C England takes on Algeria, while the USA faces European minnows Slovenia. While Germany meets Serbia in a match Aussie fans hope will end in a big German win. I think the 3 big guns should all get the 3 points on the night.
Suggested Investment - Still no collect outside Germany would you believe, I am going to stick with the multi's for now and take England-USA-Germany all to win tonight. Germany especially look massive overs at $1.65 to beat Serbia. Surely I am due!?!
Wednesday, June 16, 2010
Matchday 6 - Swiss Gold
Honduras 0 - Chile 1 (Beausejour 34)
Spain 0 - Switzerland 1 (Fernandes 52)
South Africa 0 - Uruguay 3 (Forlan 24, 80p Pereira 90)
Matchday 6 will forever be remembered for one of the greatest upsets in World Cup history after European minnows Switzerland defeated tournament favourites and European champions Spain 1-0 in their opening game. In the earlier Group H game Chile ground out their first World Cup win in 48 years with a 1-0 victory over Honduras, while Uruguay all but ended the host nations tournament with a 3-0 demolition of South Africa.
But it is the performance of the Spaniards that will be under most scrutiny this morning, and it can be summed it one word - CHOKE! Spain had won all of its past 12 matches, and lost just once in their last 48 internationals. And yet their first game at the World Cup, as tournament favourites and European Champions sees them lose…to Switzerland!!! A team they had never lost to in 18 previous encounters! The ghosts of previous failed World Cup efforts will certainly be haunting many a Spanish household today. While it is true the Spaniards totally dominated the game, and in no way deserved to lose, their ability to provide a final killer ball in the final third must be of concern. Despite their 21 shots their best effort was a Xavi Alonso strike from distance and to be fair, of those shots there weren’t too many clear cut chances. Also concerning was a potential injury to Iniesta, who was the best player on the park until having to go off, and the fact that Fernando Torres looked extremely underdone after coming on as second half substitute. The Swiss defended magnificently and now look to be in the box seat to advance to the second round. Spain should still qualify with wins over Chile (1-0 winners in the early game) and Honduras – but they cannot afford any more slip ups.
Updated odds to advance – Group H – Spain ($1.40), Chile ($1.85), Switzerland ($1.40), Honduras ($25). Group A – Uruguay ($1.15), France ($1.50), Mexico ($2.25), South Africa ($16)
What We Learned – That Spain are not the certainties that everyone made them out to be. The Iberian powerhouse had real problems creating quality attacking chances and now potentially could face the might of Brazil in the second round. The dream final could already be off the cards after set of matches!
The Falcon’s Spud Of The Day – The Punters Club who by majority voted to put its last remaining funds on Spain to win the tournament. I told you they were the suckers bet. Go Brazil! (Now tournament favourites just quietly).
Tonight’s Games – The second round continues with Argentina and South Korea clashing with the winner almost assured of qualification. On their last performance you would think the Argentineans would be too strong. In the other Group B game Greece take on Nigeria, with the Africans looking to stay in the hunt for the second round with a win. They should achieve that aim. Finally, Group A concludes its second round of matches with France taking on Mexico. Despite both teams needing a win to chase down Uruguay I expect a draw to be the final result.
Suggested Investment – Still no more luck with the exotic bets so it’s probably time to go back to the multi’s. Let’s try Argentina to defeat South Korea paired up with a draw between France and Mexico (I think the draw is especially good value at $3.20).
Spain 0 - Switzerland 1 (Fernandes 52)
South Africa 0 - Uruguay 3 (Forlan 24, 80p Pereira 90)
Matchday 6 will forever be remembered for one of the greatest upsets in World Cup history after European minnows Switzerland defeated tournament favourites and European champions Spain 1-0 in their opening game. In the earlier Group H game Chile ground out their first World Cup win in 48 years with a 1-0 victory over Honduras, while Uruguay all but ended the host nations tournament with a 3-0 demolition of South Africa.
But it is the performance of the Spaniards that will be under most scrutiny this morning, and it can be summed it one word - CHOKE! Spain had won all of its past 12 matches, and lost just once in their last 48 internationals. And yet their first game at the World Cup, as tournament favourites and European Champions sees them lose…to Switzerland!!! A team they had never lost to in 18 previous encounters! The ghosts of previous failed World Cup efforts will certainly be haunting many a Spanish household today. While it is true the Spaniards totally dominated the game, and in no way deserved to lose, their ability to provide a final killer ball in the final third must be of concern. Despite their 21 shots their best effort was a Xavi Alonso strike from distance and to be fair, of those shots there weren’t too many clear cut chances. Also concerning was a potential injury to Iniesta, who was the best player on the park until having to go off, and the fact that Fernando Torres looked extremely underdone after coming on as second half substitute. The Swiss defended magnificently and now look to be in the box seat to advance to the second round. Spain should still qualify with wins over Chile (1-0 winners in the early game) and Honduras – but they cannot afford any more slip ups.
Updated odds to advance – Group H – Spain ($1.40), Chile ($1.85), Switzerland ($1.40), Honduras ($25). Group A – Uruguay ($1.15), France ($1.50), Mexico ($2.25), South Africa ($16)
What We Learned – That Spain are not the certainties that everyone made them out to be. The Iberian powerhouse had real problems creating quality attacking chances and now potentially could face the might of Brazil in the second round. The dream final could already be off the cards after set of matches!
The Falcon’s Spud Of The Day – The Punters Club who by majority voted to put its last remaining funds on Spain to win the tournament. I told you they were the suckers bet. Go Brazil! (Now tournament favourites just quietly).
Tonight’s Games – The second round continues with Argentina and South Korea clashing with the winner almost assured of qualification. On their last performance you would think the Argentineans would be too strong. In the other Group B game Greece take on Nigeria, with the Africans looking to stay in the hunt for the second round with a win. They should achieve that aim. Finally, Group A concludes its second round of matches with France taking on Mexico. Despite both teams needing a win to chase down Uruguay I expect a draw to be the final result.
Suggested Investment – Still no more luck with the exotic bets so it’s probably time to go back to the multi’s. Let’s try Argentina to defeat South Korea paired up with a draw between France and Mexico (I think the draw is especially good value at $3.20).
Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Matchday 5 - Magic Minnows
New Zealand 1 (Reid 90) - Slovakia 1 (Vittek 50)
Cote d'Ivoire 0 - Portugal 0
Brazil 2 (Maicon 55, Elano 72) - North Korea 1 (Ji 89)
Matchday 5 saw the beauty of the World Cup come to life as it was the turn of the minnows to shine. North Korea played a brilliant, brave game of counter attacking football in a close 2-1 loss to Brazil, while the All Whites from New Zealand grabbed an unlikely point with a last gasp equaliser against Slovakia. The other match was an ordinary 0-0 draw between Portugal and Cote d'Ivoire.
No doubt it will be the North Koreans that are the toast of the footballing world this morning after a superb display in a 2-1 loss to 5 time champions Brazil. The North Koreans showed the perfect way to play the counter attack, defending deep and breaking with pace up to star striker Jong Tae Se. They managed to hold the Brazilians out for almost an hour, and even threatened to take the lead themselves on occasion. However, the class of Brazil eventually told with 2 cracking goals, the first a Maicon goal from a ridiculously tight angle and the second from Elano from a superb Robinho through ball. Still the North Koreans got the goal they so richly deserved in the 89th minute through new national hero, Ji Yun Nam. From Brazil's perspective, while they always looked like they would win there must be concerns over the performances of Kaka (virtually invisible) and Luis Fabiano in the game. Still it is early days and outside those two they did look good, getting superb attacking support from their fullbacks on both sides of the pitch. The next games against (presumably) better opposition will be a good test. The North Koreans would have to be heartened by their performance and if they keep it up a shock result in their remaining matches could be in order.
In contrast to that feel good story the clash between Cote d'Ivoire and Portugal was another atrocious 0-0 slog (I can't believe I got up for this) that has unfortunately been a regular occurrence at this World Cup. On this performance I would doubt either team would be worrying the engraver at the end of the tournament (unless their is a trophy for the biggest divers/whingers, in which case Portugal is a certainty to collect some silverware). I guess the Ivorians had slightly the better of the chances but neither side deserved to collect all three points. Given Didier Drogba only played as a substitute in the last 15 minutes or so the Africans probably have more improvement in them. There must be warning signs for Portugal though, who despite having the majority of possession created very little. Superstar midfielder Cristiano Ronaldo was well held by the Ivory Coast defenders although he did crack a stunning strike off the post from 30 yards out early in the game. Sadly that was probably the highlight of the match and it appeared both teams were happy to roll the dice on goal difference, and bank on beating North Korea by more than they lose to Brazil by.
Updated odds to advance - Group F - Italy ($1.10), Paraguay ($1.30), Slovakia ($3.50), New Zealand ($15). Group G - Brazil ($1.10), Portugal ($1.75), Cote d'Ivoire ($2.00), North Korea ($20)
What We Learned - That North Korea are not a bunch of half starved amateurs to be pounded into submission. They played some of the best counter-attacking football seen at this years tournament so far and with a bit of luck could of snared a point from the mighty Brazil.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Cristian Ronaldo (Portugal) - Possibly harsh given that only the post denied him a goal, but for a former World Football of the Year he was massively disappointing for mine. The contrast with Lionel Messi's performance earlier in the tournament could not have been greater. Needs to stop worry about being clipped and should try staying on his feet and running past some defenders.
Tonight' Games - Tonight sees the conclusion of the first round of group games and the second round of matches in Group A kick off. Group F begins with the all Latin American clash of Honduras and Chile - I think the Chileans should win this comfortably. That will be followed by our first glimpse of tournament favourites Spain as they taken on Switzerland. Spain should just prevail in a tight European derby. The late game sees hosts South Africa having their second bite of the cherry, this time against Uruguay. I think both teams could be notching up their second draws of the tournament.
Suggested Investment - Another bagel last night. Nothing seems to be working so lets have a correct at some correct score bets tonight. I would take Spain to beat Switzerland 1-0 ($6.50), and take a 1-1 ($7) draw in the South Africa - Uruguay match.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Cote d'Ivoire 0 - Portugal 0
Brazil 2 (Maicon 55, Elano 72) - North Korea 1 (Ji 89)
Matchday 5 saw the beauty of the World Cup come to life as it was the turn of the minnows to shine. North Korea played a brilliant, brave game of counter attacking football in a close 2-1 loss to Brazil, while the All Whites from New Zealand grabbed an unlikely point with a last gasp equaliser against Slovakia. The other match was an ordinary 0-0 draw between Portugal and Cote d'Ivoire.
No doubt it will be the North Koreans that are the toast of the footballing world this morning after a superb display in a 2-1 loss to 5 time champions Brazil. The North Koreans showed the perfect way to play the counter attack, defending deep and breaking with pace up to star striker Jong Tae Se. They managed to hold the Brazilians out for almost an hour, and even threatened to take the lead themselves on occasion. However, the class of Brazil eventually told with 2 cracking goals, the first a Maicon goal from a ridiculously tight angle and the second from Elano from a superb Robinho through ball. Still the North Koreans got the goal they so richly deserved in the 89th minute through new national hero, Ji Yun Nam. From Brazil's perspective, while they always looked like they would win there must be concerns over the performances of Kaka (virtually invisible) and Luis Fabiano in the game. Still it is early days and outside those two they did look good, getting superb attacking support from their fullbacks on both sides of the pitch. The next games against (presumably) better opposition will be a good test. The North Koreans would have to be heartened by their performance and if they keep it up a shock result in their remaining matches could be in order.
In contrast to that feel good story the clash between Cote d'Ivoire and Portugal was another atrocious 0-0 slog (I can't believe I got up for this) that has unfortunately been a regular occurrence at this World Cup. On this performance I would doubt either team would be worrying the engraver at the end of the tournament (unless their is a trophy for the biggest divers/whingers, in which case Portugal is a certainty to collect some silverware). I guess the Ivorians had slightly the better of the chances but neither side deserved to collect all three points. Given Didier Drogba only played as a substitute in the last 15 minutes or so the Africans probably have more improvement in them. There must be warning signs for Portugal though, who despite having the majority of possession created very little. Superstar midfielder Cristiano Ronaldo was well held by the Ivory Coast defenders although he did crack a stunning strike off the post from 30 yards out early in the game. Sadly that was probably the highlight of the match and it appeared both teams were happy to roll the dice on goal difference, and bank on beating North Korea by more than they lose to Brazil by.
Updated odds to advance - Group F - Italy ($1.10), Paraguay ($1.30), Slovakia ($3.50), New Zealand ($15). Group G - Brazil ($1.10), Portugal ($1.75), Cote d'Ivoire ($2.00), North Korea ($20)
What We Learned - That North Korea are not a bunch of half starved amateurs to be pounded into submission. They played some of the best counter-attacking football seen at this years tournament so far and with a bit of luck could of snared a point from the mighty Brazil.
The Falcon's Spud of the Day - Cristian Ronaldo (Portugal) - Possibly harsh given that only the post denied him a goal, but for a former World Football of the Year he was massively disappointing for mine. The contrast with Lionel Messi's performance earlier in the tournament could not have been greater. Needs to stop worry about being clipped and should try staying on his feet and running past some defenders.
Tonight' Games - Tonight sees the conclusion of the first round of group games and the second round of matches in Group A kick off. Group F begins with the all Latin American clash of Honduras and Chile - I think the Chileans should win this comfortably. That will be followed by our first glimpse of tournament favourites Spain as they taken on Switzerland. Spain should just prevail in a tight European derby. The late game sees hosts South Africa having their second bite of the cherry, this time against Uruguay. I think both teams could be notching up their second draws of the tournament.
Suggested Investment - Another bagel last night. Nothing seems to be working so lets have a correct at some correct score bets tonight. I would take Spain to beat Switzerland 1-0 ($6.50), and take a 1-1 ($7) draw in the South Africa - Uruguay match.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Monday, June 14, 2010
Matchday 4 - Champs Held
Netherlands 2 (Agger 46 [og], Kuyt 85) - Denmark 0
Japan 1 (Honda 39) - Cameroon 0
Italy 1 (De Rossi 63) - Paraguay 1 (Alcaraz 39)
Matchday 4 saw the defending champions Italy came from 1-0 down at halftime to snatch a point against Paraguay, the Netherlands open their campaign with a clinical display against Denmark, while the Samurai's of Japan scored their first ever World Cup win away from home in dispatching Cameroon by a single goal.
The Italians are notoriously slow starters to tournament play, and it was no different this time as they were held to a 1-1 draw by a stout Paraguayan defence. In fact the South Americans took an undeserved lead just before half time with centre back Alcaraz (not to be confused with the San Fransisco prison) leaping over Fabian Cannavaro to head home a free kick. That was really the only chance the South Americans created up until then and they were lucky to lead. Italy had been the better of the two teams, without creating any glorious chances, and they were hard done by to be down at the break. Amazingly goalie Gionluigi Buffon was subbed off at half time (crushing my fantasy team) and things were starting to look like they were going to go really wrong for the Azzuri. However, the Italians garnered the equaliser they so richly deserved, unfortunately (for Paraguay) thanks to an absolute howler by goalkeeper (and captain!) Villar - who flapped at an Italian corner, missed the ball, and allowed Daniele De Rossi to knock the ball home. The Italians dominated from then on and were arguably unlucky not to find the winner they probably deserved. If they improve (they always do) on that performance they will be thereabouts again, while Paraguay should also advance from the group if they can mantain their level of play.
In Group E, the Netherlands kicked off their campaign with a win in what was a clinical dispatching of Denmark, 2-0 the final score. The game was best described as a 'tactical' affair with the Danes happy to defend deep and allow the Dutch the majority of the time on the ball. The Amsterdam boys admittedly looked fairly impotent in the first half and were lucky to take the lead just after half-time thanks to an own goal from Denmark's Danny Agger. The 1-0 lead would have been more than enough with the Danes only able to create a handful of chances throughout the 90 minutes, none of them troubling the Dutch keeper. In the end the Dutch got the second they probably deserved with Dirk Kuyt tapping home from close range after his teammates shot had been deflected off the post. The Dutch looked ok, but it was hardly a tournament winning performance from a team tipped by many to be the best outsider here. The Danes were very compact and disciplined in defence and should be able to advance if they can snare a win against the Japanese (who defeated Cameroon 1-0 later in the night).
Updated odds to advance - Group E - Netherlands ($1.02), Denmark ($2.50), Cameroon ($6), Japan ($2.10). Group F - Italy ($1.20), Paraguay ($1.40), Slovakia* ($2.50), New Zealand* ($12)
*Still to play
What We Learned - The mythical 'Africa premium' does not exist. Cameroon unforgivably lost 1-0 to a Japan team coming off a string of very poor performances. Backed up by the fact Algeria went to down to minnows Slovenia yesterday the only win an African nation has had so far was Ghana's fluke victory over Serbia thanks to a late penalty - a game that deserved to be 0-0 anyway.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Justo Villar (Paraguay) - Ominously the third keeper to get the award in just four days, Villar, the team captain, was the latest goalie to let in a howler. With his team up 1-0 and possibly on the way to a famous victory he softly flapped at (and missed) an Italian corner that landed right at the feet of Daniele De Rossi to tap in for 1-1. Who would want to be a goalkeeper at this tournament.
Tonight's Games - Group F's matches are rounded off with the ultimate no-name clash as New Zealand takes on Slovakia - the Slovaks should just win what will probably be a dour affair. Group G kicks off with arguably the best first round match up as Cote d'Ivoire takes on Portugal. Without a fully fit Drogba I expect the Portuguese to just nudge this. The night (or early morning) will end with the superstars of Brazil taking on the fairytale story of North Korea. Let's hope the Brazilians can smash home more than 4 goals to ensure the Australian's do not hold the record for the biggest defeat at the tournament for long.
Suggested Investment - Another multi went down last night after Italy failed to get over Paraguay. Given most matches have been tight affairs resulting in a few unusual results it might be time to resort to the more exotic bet types again. With a couple of star strikers in order why not try Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) [$6] to score first in his game, and Luis Fabiano (Brazil) [$4.50] to score the first goal in the late game.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Japan 1 (Honda 39) - Cameroon 0
Italy 1 (De Rossi 63) - Paraguay 1 (Alcaraz 39)
Matchday 4 saw the defending champions Italy came from 1-0 down at halftime to snatch a point against Paraguay, the Netherlands open their campaign with a clinical display against Denmark, while the Samurai's of Japan scored their first ever World Cup win away from home in dispatching Cameroon by a single goal.
The Italians are notoriously slow starters to tournament play, and it was no different this time as they were held to a 1-1 draw by a stout Paraguayan defence. In fact the South Americans took an undeserved lead just before half time with centre back Alcaraz (not to be confused with the San Fransisco prison) leaping over Fabian Cannavaro to head home a free kick. That was really the only chance the South Americans created up until then and they were lucky to lead. Italy had been the better of the two teams, without creating any glorious chances, and they were hard done by to be down at the break. Amazingly goalie Gionluigi Buffon was subbed off at half time (crushing my fantasy team) and things were starting to look like they were going to go really wrong for the Azzuri. However, the Italians garnered the equaliser they so richly deserved, unfortunately (for Paraguay) thanks to an absolute howler by goalkeeper (and captain!) Villar - who flapped at an Italian corner, missed the ball, and allowed Daniele De Rossi to knock the ball home. The Italians dominated from then on and were arguably unlucky not to find the winner they probably deserved. If they improve (they always do) on that performance they will be thereabouts again, while Paraguay should also advance from the group if they can mantain their level of play.
In Group E, the Netherlands kicked off their campaign with a win in what was a clinical dispatching of Denmark, 2-0 the final score. The game was best described as a 'tactical' affair with the Danes happy to defend deep and allow the Dutch the majority of the time on the ball. The Amsterdam boys admittedly looked fairly impotent in the first half and were lucky to take the lead just after half-time thanks to an own goal from Denmark's Danny Agger. The 1-0 lead would have been more than enough with the Danes only able to create a handful of chances throughout the 90 minutes, none of them troubling the Dutch keeper. In the end the Dutch got the second they probably deserved with Dirk Kuyt tapping home from close range after his teammates shot had been deflected off the post. The Dutch looked ok, but it was hardly a tournament winning performance from a team tipped by many to be the best outsider here. The Danes were very compact and disciplined in defence and should be able to advance if they can snare a win against the Japanese (who defeated Cameroon 1-0 later in the night).
Updated odds to advance - Group E - Netherlands ($1.02), Denmark ($2.50), Cameroon ($6), Japan ($2.10). Group F - Italy ($1.20), Paraguay ($1.40), Slovakia* ($2.50), New Zealand* ($12)
*Still to play
What We Learned - The mythical 'Africa premium' does not exist. Cameroon unforgivably lost 1-0 to a Japan team coming off a string of very poor performances. Backed up by the fact Algeria went to down to minnows Slovenia yesterday the only win an African nation has had so far was Ghana's fluke victory over Serbia thanks to a late penalty - a game that deserved to be 0-0 anyway.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Justo Villar (Paraguay) - Ominously the third keeper to get the award in just four days, Villar, the team captain, was the latest goalie to let in a howler. With his team up 1-0 and possibly on the way to a famous victory he softly flapped at (and missed) an Italian corner that landed right at the feet of Daniele De Rossi to tap in for 1-1. Who would want to be a goalkeeper at this tournament.
Tonight's Games - Group F's matches are rounded off with the ultimate no-name clash as New Zealand takes on Slovakia - the Slovaks should just win what will probably be a dour affair. Group G kicks off with arguably the best first round match up as Cote d'Ivoire takes on Portugal. Without a fully fit Drogba I expect the Portuguese to just nudge this. The night (or early morning) will end with the superstars of Brazil taking on the fairytale story of North Korea. Let's hope the Brazilians can smash home more than 4 goals to ensure the Australian's do not hold the record for the biggest defeat at the tournament for long.
Suggested Investment - Another multi went down last night after Italy failed to get over Paraguay. Given most matches have been tight affairs resulting in a few unusual results it might be time to resort to the more exotic bet types again. With a couple of star strikers in order why not try Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) [$6] to score first in his game, and Luis Fabiano (Brazil) [$4.50] to score the first goal in the late game.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Sunday, June 13, 2010
Matchday 3 - Disaster In Durban
Algeria 0 - Slovenia 1 (Koren 79)
Ghana 1 (Gyan 85) - Serbia 0
Germany 4 (Podolski 8, Klose 26, Mueller 68, Cacau 70) - Australia 0
Australia's 2010 World Cup dreams lasted approximately 56 minutes in South Africa. Already down 2-0, Tim Cahill was harshly awarded a straight red-card for a dubious tackle. He was sent off, and is automatically suspended for Australia's second game against Ghana. Australian heads, on the pitch and around the world, dropped - as the reality of group elimination dawned.
Their could not have been a greater contrast between Australia's World Cup openers four years apart. The dreams of Germany were replaced by nightmares in South Africa. Australia was taught what it means to be a true football nation, as the German side cut them to shreds time and time again scoring goals in the 8th, 26th, 68th and 70th minutes. In fact the clinical decisive attack of the Germans would have brought back memories of the May 1940 invasion of the low countries for old timers. Australia's only real chance came early on in the third minute when a Richard Garcia shot was cleared off the line by Germany's Phillip Lahm. That proved to be the Aussies only real chance. A defence that was clearly too old and too slow was slaughtered by the German attack - who cut down the flanks with pace before crossing to strikers who time and again were unmarked - unforgivable at this level. Craig Moore was awful and needs to be dropped for the next game. Scotty Chipperfield's defensive game was targeted by the Germans who again and again attacked via their right flank (Australia's left). Australia's attack was limited but then again they had limited time on the ball. It is clear Pim Verbeeks cautious tactics, while successful in Asia, do not cut the mustard on the World stage. A nod should be given to the Germans who were magnificent as always. They will go far in this tournament - Australia won't.
In the other group D game Ghana were lucky to escape with a 1-0 victory in a game that had 0-0 written all over it before Serbia were reduced to 10 men in the last 15 minutes. The goal came via the penalty spot (arguably the only way either team was going to score) after a deliberate Serbian handball. It was coolly slotted home by Gyan to give Ghana an undeserved win. Serbia probably had the better of the chances over the 90 minutes but in reality neither team created that many and a draw would have been a fair result (and to Australia's benefit). The Serbian defence looked impenetrable as we had expected until it got a little groggy in the last quarter of the match - especially after the send off and the goal. Ghana looked to have enough attacking flair at times to more than worry Australia. It would be hard to see Australia beating either team at this stage and Ghana's win puts them in the box seat to advance to the next round.
Group C was concluded with a sleepworthy display between Algeria and Slovenia (for some trippy reason Algeria wore white and Slovenia (!?) wore green despite their red, white, and blue flag). This almost surpassed France - Uruguay as the worst match of the tournament so far - but at least there was a goal, the Slovenes snaring a late winner thanks to captain Robert Koren's 79th minute strike. A decent strike from outside the box, even the lone goal really should have been saved with the Algerian keeper only succeeding in helping the ball into the net despite getting to the shot. The game had little life or chances for either side outside the goal and the Slovenes (unlike the French) took advantage of Algeria being reduced to 10 men late to snare the winner. On that form neither side will be troubling the likes of England and the USA in this group.
Updated odds to advance - Group C - England ($1.10), USA ($1.60), Slovenia ($2.40), Algeria ($20). Group D - Germany ($1.05), Ghana ($1.30), Serbia ($5.50), Australia ($8.50)
What We Learned - Unfortunately what we all feared - that Australia is a shadow of the side it was four years ago under Guus Hiddink. Too old, too slow, too predictable, and not creative enough. Qualification went all the way down to the last minute of the third game in 2006 - here it was realistically over within 30 minutes.....shattering.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Craig Moore (Australia) - Too old. Too slow. Followed his man when he should have attacked the ball, followed the ball when he should have been marking his man. In short - a total defensive liability. Should be the first player back on the plane home and never picked again.
Tonight's Games - The Netherlands and Denmark kick things off in the early game with big things expected of the Dutch. They should win by the odd goal in a close European battle. Japan and Cameroon will probably play out a stalemate in the second game, while the late game sees the defending champions Italy up against South American dark horses Paraguay. I expect Italy to also win by the odd goal.
Suggested Investment - Our first collect yesterday unfortunately came at the hands of Australia's defeat. Let's stick with the multi's for the moment and go for the European double of the Netherlands/Italy tonight.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
Ghana 1 (Gyan 85) - Serbia 0
Germany 4 (Podolski 8, Klose 26, Mueller 68, Cacau 70) - Australia 0
Australia's 2010 World Cup dreams lasted approximately 56 minutes in South Africa. Already down 2-0, Tim Cahill was harshly awarded a straight red-card for a dubious tackle. He was sent off, and is automatically suspended for Australia's second game against Ghana. Australian heads, on the pitch and around the world, dropped - as the reality of group elimination dawned.
Their could not have been a greater contrast between Australia's World Cup openers four years apart. The dreams of Germany were replaced by nightmares in South Africa. Australia was taught what it means to be a true football nation, as the German side cut them to shreds time and time again scoring goals in the 8th, 26th, 68th and 70th minutes. In fact the clinical decisive attack of the Germans would have brought back memories of the May 1940 invasion of the low countries for old timers. Australia's only real chance came early on in the third minute when a Richard Garcia shot was cleared off the line by Germany's Phillip Lahm. That proved to be the Aussies only real chance. A defence that was clearly too old and too slow was slaughtered by the German attack - who cut down the flanks with pace before crossing to strikers who time and again were unmarked - unforgivable at this level. Craig Moore was awful and needs to be dropped for the next game. Scotty Chipperfield's defensive game was targeted by the Germans who again and again attacked via their right flank (Australia's left). Australia's attack was limited but then again they had limited time on the ball. It is clear Pim Verbeeks cautious tactics, while successful in Asia, do not cut the mustard on the World stage. A nod should be given to the Germans who were magnificent as always. They will go far in this tournament - Australia won't.
In the other group D game Ghana were lucky to escape with a 1-0 victory in a game that had 0-0 written all over it before Serbia were reduced to 10 men in the last 15 minutes. The goal came via the penalty spot (arguably the only way either team was going to score) after a deliberate Serbian handball. It was coolly slotted home by Gyan to give Ghana an undeserved win. Serbia probably had the better of the chances over the 90 minutes but in reality neither team created that many and a draw would have been a fair result (and to Australia's benefit). The Serbian defence looked impenetrable as we had expected until it got a little groggy in the last quarter of the match - especially after the send off and the goal. Ghana looked to have enough attacking flair at times to more than worry Australia. It would be hard to see Australia beating either team at this stage and Ghana's win puts them in the box seat to advance to the next round.
Group C was concluded with a sleepworthy display between Algeria and Slovenia (for some trippy reason Algeria wore white and Slovenia (!?) wore green despite their red, white, and blue flag). This almost surpassed France - Uruguay as the worst match of the tournament so far - but at least there was a goal, the Slovenes snaring a late winner thanks to captain Robert Koren's 79th minute strike. A decent strike from outside the box, even the lone goal really should have been saved with the Algerian keeper only succeeding in helping the ball into the net despite getting to the shot. The game had little life or chances for either side outside the goal and the Slovenes (unlike the French) took advantage of Algeria being reduced to 10 men late to snare the winner. On that form neither side will be troubling the likes of England and the USA in this group.
Updated odds to advance - Group C - England ($1.10), USA ($1.60), Slovenia ($2.40), Algeria ($20). Group D - Germany ($1.05), Ghana ($1.30), Serbia ($5.50), Australia ($8.50)
What We Learned - Unfortunately what we all feared - that Australia is a shadow of the side it was four years ago under Guus Hiddink. Too old, too slow, too predictable, and not creative enough. Qualification went all the way down to the last minute of the third game in 2006 - here it was realistically over within 30 minutes.....shattering.
The Falcon's Spud Of The Day - Craig Moore (Australia) - Too old. Too slow. Followed his man when he should have attacked the ball, followed the ball when he should have been marking his man. In short - a total defensive liability. Should be the first player back on the plane home and never picked again.
Tonight's Games - The Netherlands and Denmark kick things off in the early game with big things expected of the Dutch. They should win by the odd goal in a close European battle. Japan and Cameroon will probably play out a stalemate in the second game, while the late game sees the defending champions Italy up against South American dark horses Paraguay. I expect Italy to also win by the odd goal.
Suggested Investment - Our first collect yesterday unfortunately came at the hands of Australia's defeat. Let's stick with the multi's for the moment and go for the European double of the Netherlands/Italy tonight.
Prices courtesy of Betfair.
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